CXW — CoreCivic Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CXW Bullish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 32, actionability 51. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score40
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction32
Actionability51 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About CoreCivic Inc

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States. It operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners that serve the public good through corrections and detention management, a network of residential reentry centers to help address recidivism crisis, and gov… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.93
Market Cap$3.23B
Float96.4M
Shares Outstanding98.9M
P/E (Forward)12.30
P/E (TTM)26.17
Price/Sales (TTM)1.30
vs. Analyst Target+26.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.18%
Revenue (TTM)$2.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)5.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$41.80 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.91B $55.3M $499M $294M
2021 $1.86B -$51.9M $526M $306M
2022 $1.85B $122M $432M $378M
2023 $1.90B $67.6M $307M $296M
2024 $1.96B $68.9M $468M $287M
2025 $2.21B $117M $519M $348M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $580M $26.3M
Dec 2025 $604M $26.5M
Mar 2026 $615M $37.9M
Jun 2026 $685M $86.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership91.3%
Short Float14.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.14%
Number of Funds Holding276

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.75Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.53Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.94Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$29.80 support 1.42x 1 months ago
$21.00 support 1.35x 3 months ago
$17.50 support 1.43x 6 months ago
$13.90 support 1.91x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.19% 57.89% 9.85% -19.05%
1 Day 0.53% 0.27% 53.51% 25.60% -14.29%
1 Week 1.72% -0.37% 47.37% 227.28% -24.07%
2 Weeks 2.27% -0.32% 48.25% 281.83% -34.46%
1 Month 2.82% 0.92% 52.21% 231.65% -45.92%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.5%44.8%29
Feb0.1%58.6%29
Mar-1.2%55.2%29
Apr2.8%58.6%29
May2.1%48.3%29
Jun3.7%55.2%29
Jul-2.9%37.9%29
Aug-0.1%50.0%30
Sep-3.1%46.7%30
Oct0.7%51.7%29
Nov4.6%51.7%29
Dec-1.8%44.8%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 47.5% 1381
Tuesday -0.05% 47.1% 1509
Wednesday 0.09% 48.0% 1510
Thursday -0.00% 48.5% 1479
Friday 0.16% 48.9% 1472

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings26
Net Value-$12.4M
Net Shares Change-567,887
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings17
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mayberry Lucibeth EVP, Chief Innovation Officer -$4.0M 1 1 sell
GARFINKLE DAVID EVP & Chief Financial Officer -$3.4M 2 2 sell
Grande Anthony L EVP, Chief Development Officer -$1.7M 3 3 sell
PRANN JOHN R JR -$1.4M 2 2 sell
Emkes Mark A -$1.0M 1 1 sell
Swenson Daren EVP, Chief Corr & Reentry Ofcr -$697,000 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-03 – 2026-08-17 9 8 -$7.8M 5 C-suite
2026-08-18 – 2026-09-01 9 5 -$7.7M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-11 Swenson Daren EVP, Chief Corr & Reentry Ofcr -$697,000 Transaction at $34.85, now -5.5%
2026-08-21 GARFINKLE DAVID EVP & Chief Financial Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $33.96, now -3.0%
2026-08-18 GARFINKLE DAVID EVP & Chief Financial Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $33.76, now -2.5%
2026-08-12 Mayberry Lucibeth EVP, Chief Innovation Officer -$4.0M Transaction at $33.29, now -1.1%
2026-08-17 Grande Anthony L EVP, Chief Development Officer -$981,448.468 Transaction at $33.61, now -2.0%
2026-08-26 Grande Anthony L EVP, Chief Development Officer -$425,291.4 Transaction at $33.85, now -2.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CoreCivic Inc (CXW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CXW on Trend Edge →