GEF — Greif Bros Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GEF Bullish with a Setup Score of 27, net conviction 33, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score27
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Greif Bros Corporation

Greif, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions; Durable Metal Solutions; Sustainable Fiber Solutions; and Integrated Solutions. The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces and sells polymer-based packaging products, such as plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics for chemicals, food … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$73.60
Market Cap$4.10B
Float26.6M
Shares Outstanding24.8M
P/E (Forward)9.30
P/E (TTM)29.55
Price/Sales (TTM)0.96
vs. Analyst Target+3.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin24.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.16%
Revenue (TTM)$4.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-67.60%
Dividend Rate2.3%
Analyst Target Price$76.20 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.51B $109M $915M $544M
2021 $5.56B $391M $1.09B $806M
2022 $6.35B $377M $1.29B $804M
2023 $5.22B $359M $1.15B $834M
2024 $4.33B $266M $892M $534M
2025 $4.29B $840M $951M $440M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $1.39B $47.3M
Jul 2025 $147M $720M
Oct 2025 $995M $175M
Jan 2026 $1.07B $12.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership94.2%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.32%
Number of Funds Holding273

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$68.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$67.44Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$63.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$64.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$67.72Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$63.67Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$64.57Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$63.00 support 1.14x 0 months ago
$57.00 support 1.08x 7 months ago
$56.00 support 1.59x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.06% 0.00% 48.74% 3.98% -2.60%
1 Day -0.32% -0.29% 42.86% 8.37% -8.13%
1 Week -0.29% 0.00% 49.58% 17.52% -15.98%
2 Weeks -0.52% -0.66% 46.22% 20.68% -20.14%
1 Month 0.84% 1.31% 54.24% 18.01% -17.08%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.6%46.7%30
Feb1.3%56.7%30
Mar1.3%58.1%31
Apr1.4%45.2%31
May0.4%58.1%31
Jun1.5%48.4%31
Jul0.4%60.0%30
Aug0.1%50.0%30
Sep0.2%53.3%30
Oct0.7%53.3%30
Nov3.6%66.7%30
Dec0.7%50.0%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.5% 1437
Tuesday 0.07% 49.0% 1568
Wednesday 0.04% 50.4% 1566
Thursday 0.06% 49.7% 1536
Friday 0.10% 51.2% 1528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings30
Net Value-$5.1M
Net Shares Change-82,232
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings30
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off -$1.7M 5 3 buy, 3 sell
MARTZ GARY R EVP & General Counsel +$328,430.5 1 1 buy
Hilsheimer Lawrence A. EVP and CFO -$165,903.073 4 4 buy, 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-13 – 2025-11-21 8 4 -$98,812.546 8 C-suite
2025-12-12 – 2025-12-17 3 3 -$1.3M 3 C-suite
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-17 9 6 -$1.7M 9 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-05 Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off -$965,805.517 Transaction at $81.56, now -9.8%
2026-02-05 Hilsheimer Lawrence A. EVP and CFO -$9,259.577 Transaction at $80.31, now -8.4%
2025-11-13 Hilsheimer Lawrence A. EVP and CFO -$581,001.567 Transaction at $62.80, now +17.2%
2026-02-11 Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off +$158,645.176 Transaction at $87.22, now -15.6%
2026-02-06 Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off +$159,541.675 Transaction at $88.10, now -16.5%
2025-11-19 Hilsheimer Lawrence A. EVP and CFO -$142,099.6 Transaction at $63.15, now +16.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GEF on Trend Edge →