GEF — Greif Bros Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GEF Bullish with a Setup Score of 23, net conviction 25, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score23
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Greif Bros Corporation

Greif, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions; Durable Metal Solutions; Sustainable Fiber Solutions; and Integrated Solutions. The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces and sells polymer-based packaging products, such as plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics for chemicals, food … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$84.63
Market Cap$4.91B
Float28.0M
Shares Outstanding24.8M
P/E (Forward)9.30
P/E (TTM)35.71
Price/Sales (TTM)1.14
vs. Analyst Target+3.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin24.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.56%
Revenue (TTM)$4.30B
Earnings Growth (YoY)43.40%
Dividend Rate2.3%
Analyst Target Price$87.20 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.51B $109M $915M $544M
2021 $5.56B $391M $1.09B $806M
2022 $6.35B $377M $1.29B $804M
2023 $5.22B $359M $1.15B $834M
2024 $4.33B $266M $892M $534M
2025 $4.29B $840M $951M $440M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $147M $720M
Oct 2025 $995M $175M
Jan 2026 $1.07B $12.6M
Apr 2026 $1.17B $78.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.1%
Institutional Ownership97.2%
Short Float3.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.48%
Number of Funds Holding306

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$81.37Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$71.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$65.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$65.52Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$71.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$65.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$65.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$75.00 support 1.13x 0 months ago
$63.00 support 1.14x 1 months ago
$57.00 support 1.08x 8 months ago
$56.00 support 1.59x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (120 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.00% 48.33% 3.98% -2.60%
1 Day -0.32% -0.27% 43.33% 8.37% -8.13%
1 Week -0.28% 0.02% 50.00% 17.52% -15.98%
2 Weeks -0.51% -0.57% 46.67% 20.68% -20.14%
1 Month 0.79% 1.14% 53.78% 18.01% -17.08%

Next earnings: October 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.6%46.7%30
Feb1.3%56.7%30
Mar1.3%58.1%31
Apr1.4%45.2%31
May0.4%58.1%31
Jun1.5%48.4%31
Jul0.9%61.3%31
Aug0.1%50.0%30
Sep0.2%53.3%30
Oct0.7%53.3%30
Nov3.6%66.7%30
Dec0.7%50.0%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 47.5% 1444
Tuesday 0.07% 49.1% 1575
Wednesday 0.05% 50.6% 1573
Thursday 0.06% 49.8% 1543
Friday 0.10% 51.2% 1535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings38
Net Value-$13.4M
Net Shares Change-178,855
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings37
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hilsheimer Lawrence A. EVP and CFO -$4.3M 3 2 buy, 3 sell
Rosgaard Ole G President and CEO -$3.5M 1 1 sell
Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off -$1.2M 3 1 buy, 3 sell
Bergwall Timothy SVP, Chief Commercial Officer -$511,560 1 1 sell
Benner Gaylord SVP SBGM Sust. Fiber Solutions -$229,763.861 1 1 sell
Leahy Matthew B. SVP SBU GM Innovative Closure -$84,941.649 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-13 – 2025-11-21 8 4 -$98,812.546 8 C-suite
2025-12-12 – 2025-12-17 3 3 -$1.3M 3 C-suite
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-17 9 6 -$1.7M 9 C-suite
2026-08-04 – 2026-08-10 8 7 -$8.5M 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-10 Hilsheimer Lawrence A. EVP and CFO -$3.7M Transaction at $88.59, now -4.5%
2026-08-04 Rosgaard Ole G President and CEO -$3.5M Transaction at $86.68, now -2.4%
2026-08-10 Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off -$101,535.6 Transaction at $88.60, now -4.5%
2026-08-05 Benner Gaylord SVP SBGM Sust. Fiber Solutions -$229,763.861 Transaction at $86.61, now -2.3%
2026-08-05 Bergwall Timothy SVP, Chief Commercial Officer -$511,560 Transaction at $85.26, now -0.7%
2026-08-25 Sathyanarayanan Bala EVP, Chief Human Resources Off -$109,665 Transaction at $109.67, now -22.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Greif Bros Corporation (GEF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GEF on Trend Edge →