GCTS — GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GCTS Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 28, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, designs, manufactures, and sells communication semiconductors for industrial, business-to-business, and consumer applications in the United States, Taiwan, China, Germany, and South Korea. The company offers wireless communication technologies, such as 5G/5.75G/4.5G/4G transceivers and modems; RF and modem chipsets based on fourth-generation (4G) long term evolution (LTE) technolog… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.91
Market Cap$183M
Float81.6M
Shares Outstanding92.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)44.87
vs. Analyst Target+67.5% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-763.65%
Revenue (TTM)$4.1M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.20 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $25.5M -$26.8M $8.2M -$20.6M
2022 $16.7M -$26.4M $5.1M -$21.4M
2023 $16.0M -$22.5M $6.7M -$13.9M
2024 $9.1M -$12.4M $5.1M -$6.7M
2025 $2.9M -$43.4M -$1.8M -$35.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $430,000 -$13.8M
Dec 2025 $758,000 -$9.0M
Mar 2026 $1.9M -$9.9M
Jun 2026 $971,000 -$20.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.1%
Institutional Ownership14.1%
Short Float9.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.63%
Number of Funds Holding55

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.73Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.60Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.50 support 4.43x 2 months ago
$1.10 support 3.62x 13 months ago
$4.60 resistance 1.86x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (19 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.68% -0.40% 10.53% 9.02% -15.51%
1 Day -6.89% -0.30% 15.79% 5.28% -40.45%
1 Week -4.38% -1.48% 31.58% 68.10% -51.36%
2 Weeks -2.16% -0.77% 26.32% 128.83% -53.18%
1 Month -2.22% -0.13% 50.00% 60.12% -38.64%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.37% 40.1% 217
Tuesday -0.60% 36.4% 242
Wednesday 1.95% 36.7% 240
Thursday 0.00% 31.6% 234
Friday -0.01% 35.3% 235

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.1%

Founder-led management: Kyeong-Ho Lee (Co-Founder & Independent Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change107,975
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Shin Hyunsoo +$148,384.22 4 4 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-16 Shin Hyunsoo +$66,541.17 Transaction at $1.51, now +26.5%
2025-11-28 Shin Hyunsoo +$21,408 Transaction at $1.28, now +49.2%
2025-11-24 Shin Hyunsoo +$36,650.24 Transaction at $1.28, now +49.2%
2025-09-08 Shin Hyunsoo +$23,784.81 Transaction at $1.28, now +49.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc (GCTS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GCTS on Trend Edge →