GCTS — GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GCTS Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 21, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction21
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, designs, manufactures, and sells communication semiconductors for industrial, business-to-business, and consumer applications in the United States, Taiwan, China, Germany, and South Korea. The company offers wireless communication technologies, such as 5G/5.75G/4.5G/4G transceivers and modems; RF and modem chipsets based on fourth-generation (4G) long term evolution (LTE) technolog… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.35
Market Cap$224M
Float72.7M
Shares Outstanding91.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)52.16
vs. Analyst Target+47.5% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-319.38%
Revenue (TTM)$4.3M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.47 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $25.5M -$26.8M $8.2M -$20.6M
2022 $16.7M -$26.4M $5.1M -$21.4M
2023 $16.0M -$22.5M $6.7M -$13.9M
2024 $9.1M -$12.4M $5.1M -$6.7M
2025 $2.9M -$43.4M -$1.8M -$35.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.2M -$13.5M
Sep 2025 $430,000 -$13.8M
Dec 2025 $758,000 -$9.0M
Mar 2026 $1.9M -$9.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.3%
Institutional Ownership4.9%
Short Float10.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.38%
Number of Funds Holding31

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.68Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.68Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.50 support 4.43x 1 months ago
$1.10 support 3.62x 12 months ago
$4.60 resistance 1.86x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (18 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.97% -0.20% 11.11% 9.02% -14.62%
1 Day -6.35% -0.15% 16.67% 5.28% -40.45%
1 Week -3.44% -0.99% 33.33% 68.10% -51.36%
2 Weeks -0.89% -0.63% 27.78% 128.83% -53.18%
1 Month -5.88% -0.30% 47.06% 13.53% -38.64%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.38% 40.0% 210
Tuesday -0.56% 36.0% 236
Wednesday 2.02% 36.3% 234
Thursday -0.00% 31.1% 228
Friday 0.01% 35.4% 229

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 4.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.3%

Founder-led management: Kyeong-Ho Lee (Co-Founder & Independent Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change228,975
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Shin Hyunsoo +$300,844.22 5 5 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-19 Shin Hyunsoo +$152,460 Transaction at $1.26, now +86.5%
2025-09-16 Shin Hyunsoo +$66,541.17 Transaction at $1.51, now +55.6%
2025-11-28 Shin Hyunsoo +$21,408 Transaction at $1.28, now +83.6%
2025-11-24 Shin Hyunsoo +$36,650.24 Transaction at $1.28, now +83.6%
2025-09-08 Shin Hyunsoo +$23,784.81 Transaction at $1.28, now +83.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc (GCTS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GCTS on Trend Edge →