GBTG — Global Business Travel Group Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GBTG Bullish with a Setup Score of 30, net conviction 22, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score30
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction22
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Global Business Travel Group Inc

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. operates as a technology and services company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers the Amex GBT marketplace for fares and rates; travel solutions, such as Amex GBT Egencia for businesses needing a configurable digital travel and expense platform; Complete by SAP Concur and Amex GBT, a co-developed travel and expense solution for businesses; and Amex GBT Neo for busine… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.40
Market Cap$4.90B
Float194.8M
Shares Outstanding522.3M
P/E (Forward)9.03
P/E (TTM)58.69
Price/Sales (TTM)1.67
vs. Analyst Target+1.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.36%
Revenue (TTM)$2.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-37.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.50 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $793M -$614M $264M -$584M
2021 $763M -$467M $286M -$446M
2022 $1.85B -$25.0M $1.02B -$7.0M
2023 $2.29B -$63.0M $1.33B $190M
2024 $2.42B -$138M $1.46B $222M
2025 $2.72B $109M $1.63B $434M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $631M $13.0M
Sep 2025 $674M -$62.0M
Dec 2025 $792M $83.0M
Mar 2026 $840M $52.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership56.4%
Institutional Ownership50.4%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.87%
Number of Funds Holding154

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.42Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.00 support 3.66x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (15 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.14% 0.58% 66.67% 1.81% -3.72%
1 Day 0.03% -0.50% 33.33% 12.77% -7.46%
1 Week -1.06% -0.49% 40.00% 21.08% -15.37%
2 Weeks 2.29% 1.18% 53.33% 21.54% -9.37%
1 Month 5.68% 5.87% 71.43% 29.43% -25.84%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.28% 46.2% 182
Tuesday 0.18% 50.2% 201
Wednesday -0.11% 44.7% 199
Thursday 0.06% 51.3% 193
Friday -0.03% 48.0% 196

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 50.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 56.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$30.7M
Net Shares Change-3,452,250
% of Float-1.8%
C-Suite Filings20
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bock Eric J. Title: Chief Legal Officer & Global Head of Mergers & Acquisitions and Compliance & Corporate Secretary -$11.4M 3 3 sell
Abbott Paul G Chief Executive Officer -$9.1M 3 3 sell
Konwiser Evan Title: Chief Marketing and Strategy Officer -$3.3M 1 1 sell
Williams Karen A Chief Financial Officer -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Bush James Peter -$163,800 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-12 – 2025-08-19 3 3 -$639,518.54 3 C-suite
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-15 9 5 -$24.1M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 Abbott Paul G Chief Executive Officer -$5.4M Transaction at $9.35, now +0.5%
2026-06-15 Bock Eric J. Title: Chief Legal Officer & Global Head of Mergers & Acquisitions and Compliance & Corporate Secretary -$2.0M Transaction at $9.36, now +0.5%
2026-06-11 Konwiser Evan Title: Chief Marketing and Strategy Officer -$3.3M Transaction at $9.34, now +0.6%
2026-06-11 Bock Eric J. Title: Chief Legal Officer & Global Head of Mergers & Acquisitions and Compliance & Corporate Secretary -$1.9M Transaction at $9.34, now +0.6%
2026-06-03 Bock Eric J. Title: Chief Legal Officer & Global Head of Mergers & Acquisitions and Compliance & Corporate Secretary -$7.5M Transaction at $9.35, now +0.5%
2026-06-10 Abbott Paul G Chief Executive Officer -$3.6M Transaction at $9.35, now +0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Global Business Travel Group Inc (GBTG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GBTG on Trend Edge →