FTDR — Frontdoor Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FTDR Bullish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 39, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Frontdoor Inc

Frontdoor, Inc. provides home warranties and new home builder warranties in the United States. The company offers customizable home warranties that help customers to protect and maintain their homes from costly and unplanned breakdowns of essential home systems and appliances. Its home warranty customers subscribe to an annual service plan agreement that covers the repair or replacement of principal components of home systems and appliances, incl… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$82.75
Market Cap$5.65B
Float68.4M
Shares Outstanding68.9M
P/E (Forward)18.62
P/E (TTM)21.68
Price/Sales (TTM)2.63
vs. Analyst Target+18.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)28.22%
Revenue (TTM)$2.15B
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$98.00 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.47B $112M $682M $249M
2021 $1.60B $128M $749M $232M
2022 $1.66B $71.0M $676M $153M
2023 $1.78B $171M $848M $311M
2024 $1.84B $235M $952M $408M
2025 $2.09B $255M $1.07B $518M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $618M $106M
Dec 2025 $433M $2.0M
Mar 2026 $451M $41.0M
Jun 2026 $645M $125M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership110.0%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding4.37%
Number of Funds Holding384

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$79.10Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$65.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$59.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$45.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$65.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$60.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$49.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$62.00 support 1.14x 1 months ago
$49.00 support 1.03x 14 months ago
$33.80 support 1.11x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (32 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.72% -0.18% 43.75% 18.33% -31.63%
1 Day -0.79% 0.51% 53.13% 14.92% -29.18%
1 Week -1.18% 1.09% 56.25% 15.70% -36.81%
2 Weeks -2.70% -0.13% 50.00% 18.85% -34.33%
1 Month -1.82% 0.18% 51.61% 22.80% -36.24%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.7%62.5%8
Feb-2.9%37.5%8
Mar-5.5%37.5%8
Apr5.7%62.5%8
May8.1%75.0%8
Jun3.3%50.0%8
Jul3.5%50.0%8
Aug1.8%57.1%7
Sep-4.2%14.3%7
Oct-2.7%37.5%8
Nov-0.2%50.0%8
Dec2.9%75.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 52.0% 375
Tuesday 0.16% 55.2% 411
Wednesday -0.05% 47.5% 408
Thursday 0.15% 49.8% 400
Friday 0.13% 54.5% 400

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$4.3M
Net Shares Change-46,190
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Fiarman Jeffrey SVP & Chief Legal Officer -$2.1M 2 2 sell
Iverson Evan SVP & Chief Operating Officer -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Collins Kathryn M SVP & Chief Revenue Officer -$625,600 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-12 – 2026-08-12 3 3 -$3.3M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Fiarman Jeffrey SVP & Chief Legal Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $85.11, now -2.8%
2026-08-12 Iverson Evan SVP & Chief Operating Officer -$1.6M Transaction at $85.50, now -3.2%
2026-08-12 Collins Kathryn M SVP & Chief Revenue Officer -$625,600 Transaction at $57.70, now +43.4%
2026-03-04 Fiarman Jeffrey SVP & Chief Legal Officer -$1.0M Transaction at $67.60, now +22.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Frontdoor Inc (FTDR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FTDR on Trend Edge →