FTAI — FTAI Aviation Ltd.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About FTAI Aviation Ltd.

FTAI Aviation Ltd. owns, acquires, and sells aviation equipment for the transportation of goods and people worldwide. It operates in two segments, Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. The Aviation Leasing segment owns, leases, manages, and sells aircraft and aircraft engines. As of December 31, 2025, this segment owned and managed 290 aviation assets consisting of 47 commercial aircraft and 243 engines, including eight aircraft and seventeen … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$250.33
Market Cap$25.78B
Float101.2M
Shares Outstanding102.6M
P/E (Forward)33.90
P/E (TTM)49.97
Price/Sales (TTM)9.09
vs. Analyst Target+40.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.92%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.48%
Revenue (TTM)$2.84B
Earnings Growth (YoY)48.30%
Dividend Rate1.5%
Analyst Target Price$350.60 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $370M -$88.5M $84.6M $163M
2021 $336M -$104M $127M $263M
2022 $722M -$193M $223M $231M
2023 $1.19B $244M $395M $531M
2024 $1.75B $8.7M $578M $470M
2025 $2.51B $501M $779M $1.08B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $676M $165M
Sep 2025 $667M $118M
Dec 2025 $662M $116M
Mar 2026 $831M $138M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding7.03%
Number of Funds Holding578

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$247.58Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$216.45Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$169.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$99.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$218.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$172.56Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$115.75Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$300.00 resistance 1.19x 1 months ago
$199.00 support 1.36x 3 months ago
$103.00 support 1.00x 11 months ago
$98.00 support 1.32x 14 months ago
$85.00 support 1.29x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.15% -0.18% 44.44% 9.26% -4.69%
1 Day -0.21% 0.30% 53.33% 17.16% -18.87%
1 Week 0.37% -0.54% 46.67% 27.89% -22.83%
2 Weeks -1.71% -0.97% 44.44% 21.51% -46.20%
1 Month 0.64% 3.55% 59.09% 28.64% -54.90%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.2%45.5%11
Feb4.9%63.6%11
Mar-3.0%54.5%11
Apr2.9%72.7%11
May2.9%60.0%10
Jun5.3%54.5%11
Jul7.5%72.7%11
Aug0.3%54.5%11
Sep0.6%63.6%11
Oct1.3%72.7%11
Nov5.9%63.6%11
Dec5.1%54.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 48.8% 518
Tuesday 0.11% 48.6% 572
Wednesday 0.22% 49.5% 568
Thursday 0.22% 52.3% 558
Friday 0.26% 53.0% 557

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

Founder-led management: Joseph Adams (Chief Executive Officer & Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$1.4M
Net Shares Change-254,971
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TUCHMAN MARTIN -$61.5M 1 2 sell
GOODWIN PAUL R -$3.0M 1 1 sell
Moreno David Chief Operating Officer +$1.0M 1 2 buy
Adams Joseph P. Jr. CEO and Chairman +$311,820 1 1 buy
Nam Eun Chief Financial Officer +$100,055.92 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-13 – 2025-11-14 3 3 +$1.4M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-05 TUCHMAN MARTIN -$61.5M Transaction at $242.01, now +3.4%
2025-11-13 Moreno David Chief Operating Officer +$1.0M Transaction at $153.69, now +62.9%
2026-03-03 GOODWIN PAUL R -$3.0M Transaction at $303.35, now -17.5%
2025-11-14 Nam Eun Chief Financial Officer +$100,055.92 Transaction at $153.46, now +63.1%
2025-11-13 Adams Joseph P. Jr. CEO and Chairman +$311,820 Transaction at $155.91, now +60.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FTAI on Trend Edge →