FSV — FirstService Corp

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FSV Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 29, actionability 52. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction29
Actionability52 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About FirstService Corp

FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands. The FirstService Residential segment operates as a full-service property manager and provides a range of ancillary services, including on-site staffing for … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$143.44
Market Cap$6.56B
Float41.8M
Shares Outstanding46.0M
P/E (Forward)23.31
P/E (TTM)40.16
Price/Sales (TTM)1.18
vs. Analyst Target+31.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.92%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.66%
Revenue (TTM)$5.56B
Earnings Growth (YoY)626.40%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$188.50 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.77B $87.3M $901M $268M
2021 $3.25B $135M $1.05B $324M
2022 $3.75B $121M $1.18B $329M
2023 $4.33B $100M $1.39B $379M
2024 $5.22B $134M $1.72B $506M
2025 $5.52B $146M $1.75B $527M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.42B $46.1M
Sep 2025 $1.45B $57.2M
Dec 2025 $1.40B $39.6M
Mar 2026 $1.32B $20.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.0%
Institutional Ownership77.9%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.32%
Number of Funds Holding273

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$138.20Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$150.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$165.48Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$158.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$147.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$164.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$163.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$134.00 support 1.13x 0 months ago
$154.00 resistance 1.03x 3 months ago
$189.00 resistance 1.73x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.36% 63.64% 4.18% -2.26%
1 Day 0.51% 0.16% 59.09% 6.44% -5.80%
1 Week 0.71% 0.05% 50.00% 15.39% -11.28%
2 Weeks 0.36% -0.54% 47.73% 15.21% -11.00%
1 Month 1.59% 0.18% 53.49% 30.86% -9.44%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (11 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%63.6%11
Feb2.1%63.6%11
Mar-1.8%63.6%11
Apr1.1%54.5%11
May1.6%81.8%11
Jun3.3%72.7%11
Jul9.2%100.0%11
Aug1.4%63.6%11
Sep-1.8%27.3%11
Oct-2.4%54.5%11
Nov4.6%72.7%11
Dec-0.9%36.4%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 50.0% 522
Tuesday 0.10% 52.1% 574
Wednesday 0.12% 52.8% 572
Thursday 0.16% 53.7% 562
Friday 0.07% 52.7% 558

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 77.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.0%

Founder-led management: Jay Hennick (Founder & Independent Chairman of the Board)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for FirstService Corp (FSV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FSV on Trend Edge →