FSS — Federal Signal Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FSS Bullish with a Setup Score of 67, net conviction 50, actionability 89. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score67
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability89 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Federal Signal Corporation

Federal Signal Corporation designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Environmental Solutions Group, and Safety and Security Systems Group. The company offers street sweepers, sewer cleaners, industrial vacuum loaders, safe-digging trucks, dump truck bo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$113.57
Market Cap$6.87B
Float59.5M
Shares Outstanding61.0M
P/E (Forward)19.80
P/E (TTM)24.27
Price/Sales (TTM)2.81
vs. Analyst Target+28.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.65%
Revenue (TTM)$2.45B
Earnings Growth (YoY)20.70%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$145.63 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.13B $96.2M $294M $175M
2021 $1.21B $101M $289M $173M
2022 $1.43B $120M $345M $216M
2023 $1.72B $157M $450M $283M
2024 $1.86B $216M $533M $342M
2025 $2.18B $247M $631M $419M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $555M $68.1M
Dec 2025 $597M $60.8M
Mar 2026 $626M $70.4M
Jun 2026 $670M $86.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.6%
Institutional Ownership105.0%
Short Float6.8%
% of All Funds Holding5.32%
Number of Funds Holding468

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$118.65Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$115.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$111.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$89.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$115.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$111.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$96.18Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$107.00 support 1.23x 3 months ago
$94.00 support 1.03x 15 months ago
$74.00 support 1.55x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.76% 0.10% 54.92% 13.42% -5.91%
1 Day 0.92% 0.26% 50.82% 18.21% -21.56%
1 Week 0.48% 0.58% 54.92% 19.55% -42.09%
2 Weeks 0.77% -0.19% 49.18% 25.58% -36.57%
1 Month 1.88% 1.06% 54.55% 32.34% -23.55%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%58.7%46
Feb0.7%60.9%46
Mar1.2%54.3%46
Apr2.7%51.1%47
May-0.0%51.1%47
Jun0.1%44.7%47
Jul3.2%59.6%47
Aug-0.0%46.8%47
Sep-2.0%38.3%47
Oct0.1%52.2%46
Nov2.5%69.6%46
Dec3.4%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 44.7% 2218
Tuesday 0.12% 47.6% 2407
Wednesday 0.10% 45.9% 2405
Thursday 0.06% 45.2% 2359
Friday 0.04% 46.9% 2343

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$5.4M
Net Shares Change-16,128
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WEBER MARK SVP & COO -$3.5M 1 1 sell
Bonina Diane VP, Gen'l Counsel & Secretary -$1.9M 1 1 sell
REICHELDERFER BRENDA -$795,272.583 1 1 sell
Maue Richard A +$221,532 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-05 Bonina Diane VP, Gen'l Counsel & Secretary -$1.9M Transaction at $86.40, now +31.4%
2026-08-06 REICHELDERFER BRENDA -$795,272.583 Transaction at $131.02, now -13.3%
2026-03-10 Maue Richard A +$221,532 Transaction at $110.77, now +2.5%
2025-11-10 WEBER MARK SVP & COO -$3.5M Transaction at $77.13, now +47.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FSS on Trend Edge →