FSS — Federal Signal Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Federal Signal Corporation

Federal Signal Corporation designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Environmental Solutions Group, and Safety and Security Systems Group. The company offers street sweepers, sewer cleaners, industrial vacuum loaders, safe-digging trucks, dump truck bo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$116.35
Market Cap$6.81B
Float59.5M
Shares Outstanding61.0M
P/E (Forward)23.36
P/E (TTM)25.37
Price/Sales (TTM)2.91
vs. Analyst Target+22.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.02%
Revenue (TTM)$2.34B
Earnings Growth (YoY)52.00%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$142.14 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.13B $96.2M $294M $175M
2021 $1.21B $101M $289M $173M
2022 $1.43B $120M $345M $216M
2023 $1.72B $157M $450M $283M
2024 $1.86B $216M $533M $342M
2025 $2.18B $247M $613M $419M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $565M $71.4M
Sep 2025 $555M $68.1M
Dec 2025 $597M $60.8M
Mar 2026 $626M $70.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.6%
Institutional Ownership102.3%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.10%
Number of Funds Holding419

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$114.12Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$115.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$105.48Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$82.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$115.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$104.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$88.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$107.00 support 1.66x 9 months ago
$94.00 support 1.03x 10 months ago
$74.00 support 1.55x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.48% 0.07% 53.72% 10.16% -5.91%
1 Day 0.70% 0.00% 49.59% 16.91% -21.56%
1 Week 0.31% 0.49% 53.72% 16.97% -42.09%
2 Weeks 0.65% -0.49% 47.93% 25.58% -36.57%
1 Month 2.07% 1.07% 55.00% 32.34% -23.55%

Next earnings: May 5, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%58.7%46
Feb0.7%60.9%46
Mar1.2%54.3%46
Apr2.7%51.1%47
May0.3%52.2%46
Jun-0.3%43.5%46
Jul3.3%60.9%46
Aug0.1%47.8%46
Sep-1.9%39.1%46
Oct0.1%52.2%46
Nov2.5%69.6%46
Dec3.4%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 44.6% 2200
Tuesday 0.12% 47.5% 2389
Wednesday 0.10% 45.9% 2386
Thursday 0.05% 45.2% 2340
Friday 0.04% 46.9% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$3.5M
Net Shares Change2,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WEBER MARK SVP and COO -$3.5M 1 1 sell
Maue Richard A +$221,532 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-10 Maue Richard A +$221,532 Transaction at $110.77, now +5.0%
2025-11-10 WEBER MARK SVP and COO -$3.5M Transaction at $77.13, now +50.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FSS on Trend Edge →