XOS — Xos Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Xos Inc

Xos, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells battery-electric commercial vehicles. The company provides medium duty rolling chassis, such as commercial stepvans, uniform rental and linen delivery, food and beverage, and armored trucks, as well as engages in the Xos product development. It also offers Xos, which provides mix-use powertrain solutions for off-highway, industrial and other commercial equipment, and specialty vehicles, such as school bu… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.13
Market Cap$24.7M
Float6.0M
Shares Outstanding12.1M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.54
vs. Analyst Target+87.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-55.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)-186.57%
Revenue (TTM)$46.0M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.6M -$16.7M $300,000 -$11.6M
2021 $5.0M $23.4M -$2.4M -$52.4M
2022 $36.4M -$73.3M -$30.0M -$108M
2023 $44.5M -$75.8M -$1.3M -$60.1M
2024 $56.0M -$50.2M $4.0M -$40.7M
2025 $46.0M -$25.3M $2.7M -$33.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $5.9M -$10.2M
Jun 2025 $18.4M -$7.5M
Sep 2025 $16.5M $2.1M
Dec 2025 $5.2M -$9.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership63.0%
Institutional Ownership3.6%
Short Float6.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.39%
Number of Funds Holding32

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.27Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.92Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.29Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.10 resistance 1.00x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.12% 0.00% 47.62% 17.19% -4.76%
1 Day 0.36% -0.78% 42.86% 30.86% -12.63%
1 Week -5.82% -7.28% 42.86% 35.55% -30.71%
2 Weeks -7.73% -10.39% 33.33% 33.98% -33.81%
1 Month -13.93% -17.86% 23.81% 5.67% -39.73%

Next earnings: May 13, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.60% 38.7% 253
Tuesday -0.31% 39.1% 281
Wednesday -0.45% 42.1% 280
Thursday 0.41% 44.0% 273
Friday -0.16% 43.6% 273

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 3.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 63.0%

Founder-led management: Dakota Semler (Chief Executive Officer and Chairman), Giordano Sordoni (Chief Operating Officer and Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-283,578
% of Float-4.8%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Emerald Green Trust -$494,998.761 4 1 sell
Bernstein Stuart N. -$50,738.828 2 1 sell
OSTERMANN DIETMAR -$23,828.328 1 N/A
Jackson Alice K -$18,894 1 N/A
Richardson Michael Paul -$17,882.259 1 N/A
Ingargiola Luisa -$15,782.879 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-09 – 2025-12-22 3 3 -$74,408.273

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-02 Bernstein Stuart N. -$6,693.538 Transaction at $1.64, now +29.5%
2025-12-09 Emerald Green Trust -$32,697.686 Transaction at $2.52, now -15.4%
2025-05-30 Ingargiola Luisa -$15,782.879 Transaction at $3.31, now -35.6%
2025-12-22 OSTERMANN DIETMAR -$23,828.328 Transaction at $2.08, now +2.6%
2025-08-20 Bernstein Stuart N. -$44,045.29 Transaction at $3.07, now -30.6%
2025-12-30 Jackson Alice K -$18,894 Transaction at $1.89, now +12.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Xos Inc (XOS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XOS on Trend Edge →