PCAR — PACCAR Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About PACCAR Inc

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods; and diesel engine products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$112.01
Market Cap$57.54B
Float515.9M
Shares Outstanding526.3M
P/E (Forward)19.08
P/E (TTM)23.26
Price/Sales (TTM)2.07
vs. Analyst Target+12.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.32%
Revenue (TTM)$27.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)19.70%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$126.12 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $18.73B $1.30B $3.46B $2.62B
2021 $23.52B $1.87B $4.28B $3.28B
2022 $28.82B $3.01B $5.23B $4.47B
2023 $35.13B $4.60B $6.42B $5.41B
2024 $33.66B $4.16B $6.71B $5.81B
2025 $28.44B $2.38B $4.62B $4.20B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $7.51B $724M
Sep 2025 $6.67B $590M
Dec 2025 $6.82B $557M
Mar 2026 $6.23B $605M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership75.6%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding12.33%
Number of Funds Holding1,013

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$117.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$111.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$106.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$94.49Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$110.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$106.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$99.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$110.00 support 1.04x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.30% 0.20% 60.33% 7.01% -3.79%
1 Day 0.13% 0.00% 49.59% 7.26% -8.99%
1 Week 0.67% 0.29% 55.37% 17.54% -11.69%
2 Weeks 1.29% 0.78% 57.85% 19.35% -20.26%
1 Month 1.07% 1.16% 51.67% 19.96% -20.48%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%54.3%46
Feb1.6%56.5%46
Mar2.2%67.4%46
Apr2.3%57.4%47
May1.1%47.8%46
Jun-0.6%45.7%46
Jul2.1%60.9%46
Aug-1.2%39.1%46
Sep-0.6%41.3%46
Oct1.5%60.9%46
Nov4.8%73.9%46
Dec0.4%54.3%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.14% 47.9% 2200
Tuesday 0.05% 46.4% 2388
Wednesday 0.11% 48.2% 2386
Thursday -0.02% 45.5% 2340
Friday 0.04% 47.3% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$10.7M
Net Shares Change25,333
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DOZIER C MICHAEL EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT -$4.8M 1 1 sell
FEIGHT R PRESTON CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$1.4M 2 2 sell
Bloch Laura J Senior Vice President -$965,892.809 2 2 sell
Bolgar Paulo Henrique Vice President -$826,170.652 1 1 sell
BANEY KEVIN D Executive Vice President -$732,594.034 1 1 sell
Gryniewicz Craig R Vice President -$592,589.52 1 1 sell
Poplawski Brice J Sr. Vice President and CFO -$243,100.44 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-30 – 2026-02-12 10 7 -$9.6M 10 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-05 FEIGHT R PRESTON CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER +$269,781.08 Transaction at $96.28, now +16.3%
2026-02-03 FEIGHT R PRESTON CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$1.7M Transaction at $93.68, now +19.6%
2026-02-03 DOZIER C MICHAEL EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT -$4.8M Transaction at $97.42, now +15.0%
2026-02-12 Poplawski Brice J Sr. Vice President and CFO -$128,612.22 Transaction at $101.18, now +10.7%
2026-02-11 Gryniewicz Craig R Vice President -$592,589.52 Transaction at $95.13, now +17.7%
2026-02-03 Bloch Laura J Senior Vice President -$555,385.306 Transaction at $94.31, now +18.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PACCAR Inc (PCAR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PCAR on Trend Edge →