FOXF — Fox Factory Holding Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Fox Factory Holding Corp

Fox Factory Holding Corp. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets performance-defining products and systems in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Powered Vehicles Group (PVG), Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG), and Specialty Sports Group (SSG) segments. The company offers powered vehicle products for off-road vehicles and trucks, side-by-sides, on-road vehicles with and without off-road capabilities, al… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.16
Market Cap$685M
Float41.6M
Shares Outstanding41.9M
P/E (Forward)12.22
Price/Sales (TTM)0.46
vs. Analyst Target+23.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-20.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.61%
Revenue (TTM)$1.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-49.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$22.33 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $891M $90.7M $290M $148M
2021 $1.30B $164M $432M $240M
2022 $1.60B $205M $531M $292M
2023 $1.46B $121M $465M $217M
2024 $1.39B $6.5M $424M $140M
2025 $1.47B -$545M $443M -$430M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $375M $2.7M
Sep 2025 $376M -$634,000
Dec 2025 $361M -$287M
Mar 2026 $369M -$15.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership103.6%
Short Float9.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.19%
Number of Funds Holding180

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$55.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.71Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$49.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.70 support 1.44x 4 months ago
$22.10 resistance 1.71x 5 months ago
$53.00 resistance 1.03x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.26% 0.45% 61.54% 14.05% -29.63%
1 Day 0.03% 0.09% 50.00% 24.75% -27.19%
1 Week -0.25% 0.21% 51.92% 28.79% -35.70%
2 Weeks -1.40% -0.41% 42.31% 33.41% -36.66%
1 Month -0.83% -0.51% 47.06% 34.95% -40.43%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.0%30.8%13
Feb-2.0%46.2%13
Mar-2.3%53.8%13
Apr-0.3%46.2%13
May7.4%75.0%12
Jun7.8%83.3%12
Jul5.5%75.0%12
Aug0.7%41.7%12
Sep-3.1%53.8%13
Oct-2.4%38.5%13
Nov-0.9%61.5%13
Dec2.8%46.2%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.14% 52.9% 603
Tuesday 0.10% 50.0% 664
Wednesday 0.06% 50.3% 658
Thursday -0.06% 47.2% 646
Friday -0.04% 51.7% 646

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$312,320.8
Net Shares Change22,000
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DENNISON MICHAEL C. Chief Executive Officer +$312,320.8 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-17 DENNISON MICHAEL C. Chief Executive Officer +$312,320.8 Transaction at $14.20, now +27.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Fox Factory Holding Corp (FOXF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FOXF on Trend Edge →