FOR — Forestar Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Forestar Group Inc

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders. Forestar Group Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$27.30
Market Cap$1.34B
Float19.3M
Shares Outstanding51.0M
P/E (Forward)49.02
P/E (TTM)7.94
Price/Sales (TTM)0.78
vs. Analyst Target+14.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.68%
Revenue (TTM)$1.71B
Earnings Growth (YoY)22.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$31.33 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $932M $60.8M $118M $77.3M
2021 $1.33B $110M $229M $164M
2022 $1.52B $179M $324M $233M
2023 $1.44B $167M $304M $208M
2024 $1.51B $203M $359M $244M
2025 $1.66B $168M $364M $223M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $391M $32.9M
Sep 2025 $671M $87.0M
Dec 2025 $273M $15.4M
Mar 2026 $374M $32.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership62.3%
Institutional Ownership37.4%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.83%
Number of Funds Holding150

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$26.39Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.74Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$24.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$26.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$26.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$20.00 support 1.24x 9 months ago
$40.00 resistance 1.60x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (74 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.68% 0.15% 55.41% 15.00% -10.73%
1 Day -0.22% -0.59% 41.89% 10.81% -12.42%
1 Week -0.44% 0.05% 50.00% 18.59% -28.53%
2 Weeks -0.67% -0.90% 45.95% 22.35% -60.30%
1 Month 0.17% 0.87% 52.05% 31.43% -38.76%

Next earnings: July 10, 2026 (42 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.9%36.8%19
Feb-1.7%47.4%19
Mar1.8%57.9%19
Apr7.2%57.9%19
May-1.7%44.4%18
Jun-2.8%27.8%18
Jul3.9%50.0%18
Aug1.5%61.1%18
Sep-2.6%33.3%18
Oct-3.2%44.4%18
Nov4.4%55.6%18
Dec7.2%55.6%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 48.2% 870
Tuesday 0.12% 47.6% 954
Wednesday -0.02% 46.4% 952
Thursday 0.08% 49.5% 933
Friday 0.20% 49.6% 930

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 62.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$495,520
Net Shares Change-22,357
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Allen James Douglas Chief Financial Officer -$495,520 1 1 sell
Parmer Elizabeth -$69,087.06 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-11 Allen James Douglas Chief Financial Officer -$495,520 Transaction at $26.08, now +4.7%
2025-06-12 Parmer Elizabeth -$69,087.06 Transaction at $20.58, now +32.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Forestar Group Inc (FOR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FOR on Trend Edge →