AXR — AMREP Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AXR Bullish with a Setup Score of 20, net conviction 28, actionability 15. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score20
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability15 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About AMREP Corporation

AMREP Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in the United States. It operates through two segments, Land Development and Homebuilding. The company offers land development services, including land and site planning, obtaining of governmental and environmental approvals, installing of utilities and storm drains, ensuring availability of water services, building or improving of roads for land development services… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.95
Market Cap$124M
Float2.8M
Shares Outstanding5.3M
P/E (Forward)37.59
P/E (TTM)12.17
Price/Sales (TTM)2.34
vs. Analyst Target+13.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.47%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.23%
Revenue (TTM)$52.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-68.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$26.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $40.1M $7.4M $14.5M $40.1M
2022 $62.5M $15.9M $26.7M $21.8M
2023 $48.7M $21.8M $18.9M $7.7M
2024 $51.4M $6.7M $14.5M $7.8M
2025 $49.7M $12.7M $32.9M $12.3M
2026 $52.8M $10.3M $31.0M $12.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $17.9M $4.7M
Oct 2025 $9.4M $1.2M
Jan 2026 $14.6M $3.1M
Apr 2026 $11.0M $1.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership46.3%
Institutional Ownership42.5%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.43%
Number of Funds Holding38

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.10Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$24.04Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.69Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$27.70 resistance 1.54x 2 months ago
$35.80 resistance 2.02x 19 months ago
$18.70 support 3.35x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (111 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.00% 45.05% 10.91% -12.69%
1 Day -0.22% 0.00% 43.24% 18.77% -13.30%
1 Week 2.70% 0.79% 53.15% 44.93% -18.68%
2 Weeks 1.02% -0.40% 49.55% 54.35% -29.17%
1 Month 0.20% -0.21% 48.18% 61.87% -39.41%

Next earnings: September 8, 2026 (14 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.9%58.8%51
Feb3.7%45.1%51
Mar2.6%52.9%51
Apr-0.7%37.3%51
May1.3%41.2%51
Jun2.0%52.9%51
Jul1.6%49.0%51
Aug-2.2%38.0%50
Sep3.5%46.0%50
Oct-1.3%48.0%50
Nov-0.4%38.0%50
Dec5.5%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 36.9% 2396
Tuesday -0.00% 36.2% 2599
Wednesday 0.08% 37.2% 2600
Thursday 0.15% 37.5% 2550
Friday 0.12% 38.3% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 46.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$93,960
Net Shares Change68,099
% of Float2.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DAHL JAMES H +$723,148.158 8 8 buy
Uleau Adrienne CFO and VP -$93,960 1 1 sell
McNaney Timothy S +$49,720.05 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-30 Uleau Adrienne CFO and VP -$93,960 Transaction at $23.49, now -2.3%
2026-06-24 DAHL JAMES H +$78,666.802 Transaction at $25.58, now -10.3%
2026-06-04 DAHL JAMES H +$39,933.9 Transaction at $26.62, now -13.8%
2026-05-29 DAHL JAMES H +$104,646 Transaction at $26.16, now -12.3%
2026-04-22 McNaney Timothy S +$49,720.05 Transaction at $28.17, now -18.5%
2026-05-22 DAHL JAMES H +$122,491 Transaction at $24.50, now -6.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AMREP Corporation (AXR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXR on Trend Edge →