AXR — AMREP Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About AMREP Corporation

AMREP Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in the United States. It operates through two segments, Land Development and Homebuilding. The company offers land development services, including land and site planning, obtaining of governmental and environmental approvals, installing of utilities and storm drains, ensuring availability of water services, building or improving of roads for land development services… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.01
Market Cap$138M
Float2.8M
Shares Outstanding5.3M
P/E (Forward)37.59
P/E (TTM)10.76
Price/Sales (TTM)2.60
vs. Analyst Target+15.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin24.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.63%
Revenue (TTM)$53.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)346.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$30.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $18.8M -$5.9M $5.0M -$2.0M
2021 $40.1M $7.4M $14.5M $40.1M
2022 $62.5M $15.9M $26.7M $21.5M
2023 $48.7M $21.8M $18.9M $5.9M
2024 $51.4M $6.7M $14.5M $7.8M
2025 $49.7M $12.7M $32.9M $12.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $11.2M $3.9M
Jul 2025 $17.9M $4.7M
Oct 2025 $9.4M $1.2M
Jan 2026 $14.6M $3.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership46.0%
Institutional Ownership44.7%
Short Float1.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.45%
Number of Funds Holding37

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.48Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.63Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.76Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$21.96Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.70 support 1.32x 1 months ago
$35.80 resistance 2.02x 16 months ago
$18.70 support 3.35x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (111 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.00% 45.95% 10.91% -12.69%
1 Day -0.13% 0.00% 44.14% 18.77% -13.30%
1 Week 2.83% 0.91% 53.64% 44.93% -18.68%
2 Weeks 1.16% -0.13% 50.00% 54.35% -29.17%
1 Month 0.20% -0.21% 48.18% 61.87% -39.41%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.9%58.8%51
Feb3.7%45.1%51
Mar2.6%52.9%51
Apr-0.7%37.3%51
May1.5%42.0%50
Jun2.0%52.0%50
Jul1.8%50.0%50
Aug-2.2%38.0%50
Sep3.5%46.0%50
Oct-1.3%48.0%50
Nov-0.4%38.0%50
Dec5.5%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 36.9% 2384
Tuesday -0.01% 36.1% 2585
Wednesday 0.08% 37.1% 2586
Thursday 0.15% 37.6% 2536
Friday 0.13% 38.2% 2523

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 46.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change63,524
% of Float2.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DAHL JAMES H +$949,868.316 9 9 buy
McNaney Timothy S +$49,720.05 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-22 DAHL JAMES H +$122,491 Transaction at $24.50, now +6.2%
2026-05-15 DAHL JAMES H +$28,580.944 Transaction at $24.72, now +5.2%
2026-05-01 DAHL JAMES H +$222,256.8 Transaction at $27.78, now -6.4%
2026-04-22 McNaney Timothy S +$49,720.05 Transaction at $28.17, now -7.7%
2026-04-20 DAHL JAMES H +$69,051.332 Transaction at $27.41, now -5.1%
2026-04-02 DAHL JAMES H +$57,521.38 Transaction at $27.92, now -6.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AMREP Corporation (AXR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXR on Trend Edge →