FLYW — Flywire Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FLYW Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 24, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Flywire Corp

Flywire Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a payment enablement and software company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa and the Asia Pacific. The company provides a payment platform that integrates into existing apps and workflows and have access to solutions, such as tailored invoicing, settlement and reconciliation tools, single sign-on and checkout, recurring payments, and split payouts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$19.42
Market Cap$2.28B
Float96.7M
Shares Outstanding121.7M
P/E (Forward)29.67
P/E (TTM)69.44
Price/Sales (TTM)3.20
vs. Analyst Target+6.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)-1.35%
Revenue (TTM)$714M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-23.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$20.69 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $132M -$11.1M $84.0M -$8.9M
2021 $201M -$28.1M $131M -$14.9M
2022 $289M -$39.3M $181M -$23.8M
2023 $403M -$8.6M $403M -$21.5M
2024 $492M $2.9M $315M $19.8M
2025 $623M $13.5M $383M $51.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $200M $29.6M
Dec 2025 $158M $33,000
Mar 2026 $188M $12.5M
Jun 2026 $168M -$8.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.3%
Institutional Ownership105.6%
Short Float13.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.68%
Number of Funds Holding236

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.73Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.45Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.72Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.69Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.90 support 1.38x 2 months ago
$10.80 support 1.12x 11 months ago
$9.50 support 1.43x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.01% 5.34% 68.18% 28.34% -48.55%
1 Day 1.91% 3.45% 68.18% 20.51% -37.36%
1 Week 1.39% 2.58% 63.64% 25.04% -39.12%
2 Weeks 1.48% 4.92% 54.55% 25.25% -42.86%
1 Month 1.06% 1.07% 52.38% 27.36% -45.58%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 47.1% 244
Tuesday -0.07% 45.6% 272
Wednesday 0.29% 50.7% 270
Thursday -0.09% 49.6% 264
Friday 0.07% 48.7% 265

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings29
Net Value-$14.0M
Net Shares Change-753,405
% of Float-0.8%
C-Suite Filings19
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Massaro Michael Chief Executive Officer -$5.5M 2 N/A
Orgel Rob President and COO -$3.4M 1 N/A
Voss Capital, LP +$1.5M 3 2 buy, 1 sell
Kansal Mohit Chief Payments Officer -$826,593.711 1 N/A
Riese Phillip John -$627,711.6 1 1 sell
Santos Edwin J -$245,836.936 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-30 – 2026-01-09 4 3 +$2.8M 1 C-suite
2026-05-08 – 2026-05-11 5 5 -$2.3M 4 C-suite
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-17 8 6 -$5.5M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Riese Phillip John -$627,711.6 Transaction at $9.41, now +106.5%
2026-06-10 Santos Edwin J -$92,122.794 Transaction at $14.12, now +37.5%
2026-06-08 Santos Edwin J -$153,714.142 Transaction at $14.69, now +32.2%
2026-08-20 Voss Capital, LP -$1.9M Transaction at $18.46, now +5.2%
2026-01-07 Voss Capital, LP +$3.2M Transaction at $14.17, now +37.1%
2026-02-18 Voss Capital, LP +$274,795 Transaction at $10.99, now +76.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Flywire Corp (FLYW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FLYW on Trend Edge →