Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates FLD Bearish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 28, actionability 57. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 40 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 28 |
| Actionability | 57 (in range) |
Fold Holdings, Inc., a bitcoin financial services company, provides access to bitcoin through a suite of consumer financial products in the United States. Its financial services platform allows consumers to accumulate, save, and use bitcoin to accomplish financial goals. The company offers consumers an FDIC insured checking account, a Visa prepaid debit card, bill payments services, and an extensive catalog of merchant reward offers, as well as p… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $0.48 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $23.8M |
| Float | 6.2M |
| Shares Outstanding | 50.8M |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 0.79 |
| Profit Margin | -164.63% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -166.98% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $30.3M |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 1622.30% |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | -$120,000 | N/A | $636 |
| 2022 | $28.9M | -$12.0M | -$6.9M | -$10.1M |
| 2023 | $21.5M | $4.4M | $17.7M | -$3.7M |
| 2024 | $23.8M | -$1.9M | -$2.2M | -$2.9M |
| 2025 | $31.8M | -$69.6M | $14.1M | -$63.3M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $8.2M | $13.4M |
| Sep 2025 | $7.4M | $554,242 |
| Dec 2025 | $9.1M | -$34.7M |
| Mar 2026 | $5.6M | -$29.2M |
| Insider Ownership | 72.4% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 18.7% |
| Short Float | 35.1% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 0.61% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 50 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $0.81 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $1.92 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $3.84 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $7.82 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $1.75 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $3.76 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $7.19 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.90 | resistance | 6.83x | 0 months ago |
| $4.10 | resistance | 1.14x | 10 months ago |
| $6.60 | resistance | 3.11x | 14 months ago |
| $11.10 | resistance | 3.80x | 16 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 0.00% | 0.03% | 50.00% | 8.71% | -10.81% |
| 1 Day | -0.15% | 0.00% | 38.89% | 5.10% | -4.73% |
| 1 Week | 4.02% | 0.19% | 72.22% | 39.93% | -14.19% |
| 2 Weeks | 0.88% | 0.29% | 77.78% | 24.68% | -32.70% |
| 1 Month | 3.47% | 0.50% | 76.47% | 41.96% | -19.71% |
Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (29 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | -0.35% | 35.6% | 205 |
| Tuesday | -0.59% | 34.2% | 228 |
| Wednesday | 0.39% | 38.9% | 226 |
| Thursday | -0.27% | 30.8% | 221 |
| Friday | -0.13% | 29.7% | 222 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 18.7%
Total insider ownership: 72.4%
Founder-led management: Will Reeves (Founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board)
| Total Filings | 37 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$268,299.721 |
| Net Shares Change | 214,012 |
| % of Float | 3.5% |
| C-Suite Filings | 31 |
| Clusters Detected | 6 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Bracebridge H Jr | +$105,139.98 | 5 | 5 buy | |
| Repass Wolfe | Chief Financial Officer | -$91,421.078 | 3 | N/A |
| Kirkwood Jonathan | +$64,365 | 1 | 1 buy | |
| McManus Matt | Chief Operating Officer | -$14,925.696 | 1 | N/A |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 – 2026-03-03 | 7 | 3 | -$143,542.032 | 7 C-suite |
| 2026-03-23 – 2026-04-03 | 5 | 3 | -$8,883.182 | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-04-20 – 2026-04-23 | 3 | 3 | -$15,371.196 | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-19 | 5 | 4 | -$5,909.412 | 4 C-suite |
| 2026-05-20 – 2026-06-03 | 10 | 4 | -$70,785.03 | 9 C-suite |
| 2026-07-06 – 2026-07-06 | 3 | 3 | -$2,953.968 | 3 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Kirkwood Jonathan | +$64,365 | Transaction at $0.61, now -21.7% | |
| 2026-05-28 | Young Bracebridge H Jr | +$10,303 | Transaction at $1.03, now -53.4% | |
| 2026-05-19 | Young Bracebridge H Jr | +$10,551.9 | Transaction at $1.24, now -61.3% | |
| 2025-08-28 | Young Bracebridge H Jr | +$29,305.45 | Transaction at $3.45, now -86.1% | |
| 2025-08-21 | Young Bracebridge H Jr | +$29,671.18 | Transaction at $3.85, now -87.5% | |
| 2025-12-02 | Young Bracebridge H Jr | +$25,308.45 | Transaction at $3.12, now -84.6% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Fold Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FLD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for FLD on Trend Edge →