EXC — Exelon Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Exelon Corporation

Exelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses in the United States. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and public authorities and electric railroads customers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$46.03
Market Cap$46.38B
Float1.02B
Shares Outstanding1.02B
P/E (Forward)15.75
P/E (TTM)16.60
Price/Sales (TTM)1.86
vs. Analyst Target+7.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.21%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.30%
Revenue (TTM)$24.79B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-0.30%
Dividend Rate1.7%
Analyst Target Price$49.56 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $33.04B $1.96B $9.53B $10.49B
2021 $17.94B $1.71B $7.01B $9.38B
2022 $19.08B $2.17B $8.03B $7.17B
2023 $21.73B $2.33B $8.93B $7.94B
2024 $23.03B $2.46B $9.40B $8.18B
2025 $24.26B $2.77B $6.77B $8.79B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $5.43B $391M
Sep 2025 $6.71B $875M
Dec 2025 $5.41B $594M
Mar 2026 $7.24B $919M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership95.2%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding14.55%
Number of Funds Holding1,196

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$46.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$45.87Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$44.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$41.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$46.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$44.33Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$41.47Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$48.00 resistance 1.09x 0 months ago
$45.00 support 1.29x 2 months ago
$39.90 support 1.11x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.03% 0.07% 54.55% 1.50% -4.17%
1 Day 0.01% -0.05% 47.11% 8.64% -5.73%
1 Week 0.54% 0.58% 59.50% 9.79% -15.15%
2 Weeks 0.37% 0.56% 55.37% 11.34% -12.89%
1 Month 0.31% 0.60% 51.67% 25.42% -38.16%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%62.7%51
Feb-1.5%37.3%51
Mar1.8%64.7%51
Apr1.1%64.7%51
May-0.3%36.0%50
Jun0.8%50.0%50
Jul1.3%66.0%50
Aug-0.5%40.0%50
Sep-0.3%40.0%50
Oct2.1%60.0%50
Nov-1.0%36.0%50
Dec1.7%66.7%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 46.2% 2384
Tuesday 0.05% 45.5% 2586
Wednesday 0.00% 44.8% 2587
Thursday -0.03% 45.5% 2537
Friday 0.07% 46.5% 2524

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$7.1M
Net Shares Change118,578
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BUTLER CALVIN JR President and CEO -$5.0M 1 1 sell
Jones Jeanne M EVP, CFO, Audit and Risk -$1.0M 1 1 sell
Innocenzo Michael EVP and Chief Operating Officer -$735,316.86 1 1 sell
Kleczynski Robert A SVP, Controller and Tax -$383,378.21 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-04 4 4 -$7.1M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-04 BUTLER CALVIN JR President and CEO -$5.0M Transaction at $43.91, now +4.8%
2026-02-04 Jones Jeanne M EVP, CFO, Audit and Risk -$1.0M Transaction at $43.91, now +4.8%
2026-02-04 Innocenzo Michael EVP and Chief Operating Officer -$735,316.86 Transaction at $43.91, now +4.8%
2026-02-04 Kleczynski Robert A SVP, Controller and Tax -$383,378.21 Transaction at $43.91, now +4.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Exelon Corporation (EXC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EXC on Trend Edge →