EVTL — Vertical Aerospace Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Vertical Aerospace Ltd

Vertical Aerospace Ltd., an aerospace and technology company, engages in designing, manufacturing, and selling zero operating emission electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) in the United Kingdom. It is involved in developing its flagship VX4, an eVTOL aircraft; and designing, manufacturing and commercializing for deployment in the advanced air mobility market. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.76
Market Cap$320M
Float39.3M
Shares Outstanding127.3M
P/E (Forward)6.34
Price/Sales (TTM)10,738.19
vs. Analyst Target+273.8% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.32 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $87,000 -$12.3M $43,000 -$10.9M
2021 $132,000 -$245M $68,000 -$244M
2022 N/A -$94.4M -$2.7M -$77.2M
2023 N/A -$59.9M -$3.4M -$63.5M
2024 N/A -$781M -$3.5M -$60.1M
2025 N/A $233M -$1.9M $205M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$290M
Sep 2025 N/A $32.3M
Dec 2025 N/A -$55.9M
Mar 2026 N/A $81.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.7%
Institutional Ownership84.0%
Short Float20.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.89%
Number of Funds Holding73

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.52Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.06Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.53Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.10 resistance 1.26x 1 months ago
$12.60 resistance 5.12x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (17 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.87% 0.25% 64.71% 4.42% -2.40%
1 Day 0.10% 0.00% 47.06% 10.74% -11.38%
1 Week 6.47% -0.05% 41.18% 59.44% -20.30%
2 Weeks 2.81% -0.35% 41.18% 70.66% -25.19%
1 Month 0.60% 0.31% 53.33% 58.12% -37.52%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.22% 44.4% 259
Tuesday -0.31% 42.1% 290
Wednesday 0.02% 43.2% 287
Thursday -0.17% 40.9% 279
Friday 0.38% 46.1% 280

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.7%

Founder-led management: Stephen Fitzpatrick (Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-676,518
% of Float-1.7%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Saba Capital Management, L.P. -$1.8M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-16 Saba Capital Management, L.P. -$1.8M Transaction at $2.69, now +2.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vertical Aerospace Ltd (EVTL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EVTL on Trend Edge →