DORM — Dorman Products Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Dorman Products Inc

Dorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement and upgrade parts for the motor vehicle aftermarket industry in the United States and internationally. It operates through segments Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle segments. The company offers engine products, including intake and exhaust manifolds, oil filters and coolers, fans, thermostat housings, and throttle bodies; undercar products, such as fluid lines, fluid reservoirs, connectors, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$123.64
Market Cap$3.55B
Float26.3M
Shares Outstanding29.9M
P/E (Forward)14.27
P/E (TTM)19.15
Price/Sales (TTM)1.65
vs. Analyst Target+23.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.52%
Revenue (TTM)$2.15B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-23.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$152.25 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.09B $107M $383M $169M
2021 $1.35B $132M $463M $207M
2022 $1.73B $122M $564M $216M
2023 $1.93B $129M $685M $271M
2024 $2.01B $190M $806M $353M
2025 $2.13B $204M $876M $360M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $541M $58.7M
Sep 2025 $544M $76.4M
Dec 2025 $538M $11.6M
Mar 2026 $529M $43.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.7%
Institutional Ownership91.1%
Short Float4.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.63%
Number of Funds Holding298

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$113.17Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$128.77Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$128.36Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$105.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$128.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$127.13Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$107.51Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$105.00 support 1.02x 0 months ago
$154.00 resistance 1.36x 6 months ago
$101.00 support 1.13x 20 months ago
$92.00 support 1.13x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (131 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.29% 0.00% 45.04% 8.95% -7.43%
1 Day 0.17% 0.00% 42.75% 15.86% -12.16%
1 Week 0.60% 0.00% 48.85% 20.81% -18.51%
2 Weeks 1.19% 0.61% 53.44% 35.45% -22.42%
1 Month 2.34% 0.98% 55.38% 66.56% -20.52%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%42.9%35
Feb1.3%54.3%35
Mar1.9%54.3%35
Apr2.3%44.4%36
May3.1%60.0%35
Jun0.7%54.3%35
Jul4.7%60.0%35
Aug-0.6%45.7%35
Sep-0.3%48.6%35
Oct2.8%54.3%35
Nov3.7%65.7%35
Dec-0.5%48.6%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 42.6% 1669
Tuesday 0.20% 46.3% 1821
Wednesday 0.08% 44.5% 1817
Thursday 0.12% 46.3% 1783
Friday 0.25% 47.0% 1774

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$2.7M
Net Shares Change-18,551
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hession David SVP and CFO -$1.7M 1 1 sell
Long Donna M. SVP, CIO -$480,257.461 4 N/A
McKnight John President, Heavy Duty -$475,798.791 2 2 sell
Bowen Gregory C. VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$89,153.174 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-15 McKnight John President, Heavy Duty -$257,596 Transaction at $128.80, now -4.0%
2025-12-03 McKnight John President, Heavy Duty -$218,202.791 Transaction at $110.90, now +11.5%
2025-11-03 Hession David SVP and CFO -$1.7M Transaction at $135.31, now -8.6%
2025-09-15 Bowen Gregory C. VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$89,153.174 Transaction at $132.13, now -6.4%
2025-08-14 Long Donna M. SVP, CIO -$181,950 Transaction at $150.00, now -17.6%
2026-03-16 Long Donna M. SVP, CIO -$97,608.237 Transaction at $103.07, now +20.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Dorman Products Inc (DORM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DORM on Trend Edge →