DDS — Dillard's, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Dillard's, Inc.

Dillard's, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States. The company offers fashion apparel for men, women, and children; accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings, and other consumer goods through dillards.com, an Internet store and clearance centers. It also engages in the general contracting construction activities, such as constructing and remodeling stores for the company.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$576.75
Market Cap$8.62B
Float7.3M
Shares Outstanding11.6M
P/E (Forward)31.15
P/E (TTM)13.12
Price/Sales (TTM)1.30
vs. Analyst Target-6.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.29%
Revenue (TTM)$6.60B
Earnings Growth (YoY)54.70%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$537.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4.43B -$71.7M $1.36B $113M
2022 $6.62B $862M $2.88B $1.33B
2023 $7.00B $892M $3.01B $1.34B
2024 $6.87B $739M $2.84B $1.14B
2025 $6.59B $593M $2.67B $949M
2026 $6.56B $571M $2.47B $874M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $1.54B $72.9M
Oct 2025 $1.49B $130M
Jan 2026 $1.99B $204M
Apr 2026 $1.59B $251M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership32.7%
Institutional Ownership72.0%
Short Float11.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.59%
Number of Funds Holding295

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$573.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$609.88Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$516.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$420.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$595.23Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$502.07Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$435.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$660.00 resistance 1.10x 4 months ago
$466.00 support 1.02x 8 months ago
$336.00 support 1.53x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (118 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.07% 0.10% 54.24% 12.86% -21.61%
1 Day 1.19% 1.05% 62.71% 22.75% -19.49%
1 Week 2.89% 1.95% 60.17% 61.00% -20.59%
2 Weeks 3.38% 3.03% 65.81% 68.33% -26.36%
1 Month 3.03% 0.60% 52.99% 108.33% -30.93%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%47.8%46
Feb2.2%54.3%46
Mar6.7%65.2%46
Apr1.4%48.9%47
May6.7%71.7%46
Jun-0.6%41.3%46
Jul0.6%60.9%46
Aug-0.1%45.7%46
Sep-0.2%47.8%46
Oct-0.3%43.5%46
Nov6.8%73.9%46
Dec-0.6%39.1%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.15% 46.7% 2200
Tuesday 0.12% 46.9% 2388
Wednesday 0.05% 46.8% 2386
Thursday -0.01% 46.3% 2340
Friday 0.21% 49.3% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 32.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$246,800
Net Shares Change-1,138
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WATTS J C JR -$445,950 1 1 sell
Johnson Chris B. SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT -$246,800 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-01 Johnson Chris B. SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT -$246,800 Transaction at $617.00, now -6.5%
2025-10-17 WATTS J C JR -$445,950 Transaction at $594.60, now -3.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DDS on Trend Edge →