KSS — Kohl's Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KSS Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 19, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction19
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Kohl's Corporation

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow, FLX, Jumping Beans, SO, Sonoma Goods for Life, and Tek Gear, as well as LC Lauren Conrad, Nine West, and Simply Vera Vera Wang. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.80
Market Cap$1.85B
Float111.4M
Shares Outstanding113.4M
P/E (Forward)10.95
P/E (TTM)6.68
Price/Sales (TTM)0.12
vs. Analyst Target+6.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.45%
Revenue (TTM)$15.46B
Earnings Growth (YoY)144.70%
Dividend Rate0.5%
Analyst Target Price$17.85 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $15.96B -$163M $5.59B $612M
2022 $19.43B $938M $8.00B $2.32B
2023 $18.10B -$19.0M $6.64B $1.05B
2024 $17.48B $317M $6.98B $1.47B
2025 $16.22B $109M $6.56B $1.18B
2026 $15.53B $272M $6.30B $1.32B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $3.55B $153M
Oct 2025 $3.58B $8.0M
Jan 2026 $5.17B $125M
Apr 2026 $3.17B -$14.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.9%
Institutional Ownership110.1%
Short Float27.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.21%
Number of Funds Holding346

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.98Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.11Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.61Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.80 support 1.15x 0 months ago
$8.50 support 1.94x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (113 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.32% 0.14% 51.33% 12.70% -4.40%
1 Day 0.34% 0.25% 52.21% 16.17% -12.97%
1 Week 0.37% 1.12% 57.52% 20.24% -23.99%
2 Weeks 1.10% 0.66% 58.41% 37.17% -58.35%
1 Month 0.73% 0.62% 54.46% 40.76% -69.25%

Next earnings: August 26, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%44.1%34
Feb3.0%58.8%34
Mar-0.1%61.8%34
Apr-0.5%47.1%34
May-1.8%47.1%34
Jun2.5%51.4%35
Jul2.5%58.8%34
Aug3.3%52.9%34
Sep-1.9%44.1%34
Oct1.6%55.9%34
Nov4.7%55.9%34
Dec0.7%47.1%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 49.0% 1616
Tuesday 0.05% 48.5% 1764
Wednesday 0.04% 48.9% 1763
Thursday 0.11% 51.2% 1729
Friday 0.08% 48.6% 1718

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change119,800
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Timm Jill Chief Financial Officer -$808,750 2 N/A
Raymond Christie Sr. EVP & Chief Marketing Off. -$518,451.3 1 N/A
Steinmetz Mari Sr. EVP, Chief People Officer -$177,983.496 6 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-01 Steinmetz Mari Sr. EVP, Chief People Officer -$67,802.446 Transaction at $12.60, now +33.4%
2026-03-20 Steinmetz Mari Sr. EVP, Chief People Officer -$60,879.48 Transaction at $12.42, now +35.3%
2025-07-23 Raymond Christie Sr. EVP & Chief Marketing Off. -$518,451.3 Transaction at $19.56, now -14.1%
2025-12-04 Timm Jill Chief Financial Officer -$568,750 Transaction at $22.75, now -26.2%
2025-12-11 Timm Jill Chief Financial Officer -$240,000 Transaction at $24.00, now -30.0%
2026-04-15 Steinmetz Mari Sr. EVP, Chief People Officer -$21,513.17 Transaction at $13.48, now +24.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kohl's Corporation (KSS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KSS on Trend Edge →