M — Macy’s Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates M Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 18, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction18
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Macy’s Inc

Macy's, Inc., an omni-channel retail organization, operates stores, websites, and mobile applications in the United States. The company sells various merchandise, such as apparel and accessories for men, women, and kids; cosmetics; home furnishings; and other consumer goods under the Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury brands. It also operates in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates, and Al Zahra, Kuwait under the license agreements. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.67
Market Cap$5.95B
Float252.6M
Shares Outstanding261.2M
P/E (Forward)9.38
P/E (TTM)8.35
Price/Sales (TTM)0.26
vs. Analyst Target+3.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.29%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.20%
Revenue (TTM)$22.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)100.00%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$23.36 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $18.10B -$3.94B $5.81B -$3.54B
2022 $25.40B $1.43B $10.44B $3.00B
2023 $25.45B $1.18B $10.00B $2.52B
2024 $23.87B $45.0M $9.64B $1.07B
2025 $23.01B $582M $9.27B $1.76B
2026 $22.62B $642M $8.27B $1.84B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $4.91B $11.0M
Jan 2026 $7.92B $506M
Apr 2026 $4.89B $63.0M
Jul 2026 $5.06B $169M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.2%
Institutional Ownership98.3%
Short Float12.8%
% of All Funds Holding5.53%
Number of Funds Holding486

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$22.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.58Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.59Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.50Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.46Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.90 support 1.03x 11 months ago
$13.20 support 1.68x 12 months ago
$11.60 support 1.13x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (106 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.02% 50.94% 2.50% -2.74%
1 Day 1.01% 0.22% 56.60% 12.15% -7.72%
1 Week 0.95% 0.73% 55.66% 18.62% -27.97%
2 Weeks 1.10% 0.59% 55.66% 77.84% -45.11%
1 Month 0.20% 0.42% 52.38% 48.76% -36.67%

Next earnings: November 29, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%41.2%34
Feb2.0%58.8%34
Mar-0.5%62.9%35
Apr1.2%42.9%35
May2.1%62.9%35
Jun-0.6%48.6%35
Jul0.2%51.4%35
Aug-2.3%40.0%35
Sep-0.9%48.6%35
Oct3.1%55.9%34
Nov6.9%76.5%34
Dec0.9%50.0%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 47.6% 1642
Tuesday 0.09% 49.7% 1792
Wednesday 0.09% 48.5% 1790
Thursday -0.00% 47.9% 1757
Friday 0.03% 49.0% 1745

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings24
Net Value-$6.8M
Net Shares Change159,465
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings24
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kirgan Danielle L. EVP, Chief HR Officer -$2.0M 1 1 sell
Spring Antony Chairman & CEO -$1.8M 2 N/A
Bron Olivier CEO, Bloomingdale's -$483,557.557 3 1 sell
Edwards Thomas Jr. EVP, COO & CFO -$408,726.377 1 N/A
Griscom Paul SVP and Controller -$258,277.541 1 1 sell
Preston Tracy M EVP, CLO & Corporate Secretary -$143,017.187 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-26 – 2026-04-07 20 5 -$3.8M 20 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-26 Griscom Paul SVP and Controller -$258,277.541 Transaction at $25.63, now -11.6%
2025-12-11 Kirgan Danielle L. EVP, Chief HR Officer -$2.0M Transaction at $23.92, now -5.2%
2025-12-09 Bron Olivier CEO, Bloomingdale's -$299,870.1 Transaction at $22.21, now +2.1%
2026-06-24 Edwards Thomas Jr. EVP, COO & CFO -$408,726.377 Transaction at $24.89, now -8.9%
2026-04-07 Spring Antony Chairman & CEO -$896,983.652 Transaction at $17.92, now +26.5%
2026-04-07 Preston Tracy M EVP, CLO & Corporate Secretary -$94,481.094 Transaction at $17.92, now +26.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Macy’s Inc (M) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for M on Trend Edge →