DCO — Ducommun Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DCO Bullish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 38, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score29
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ducommun Incorporated

Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing services for products and applications used in the aerospace and defense, industrial, medical, and other industries in the United States. It operates through two segments, Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. The Electronic Systems segment provides cable assemblies and interconnect systems; printed circuit board assemblies; electronic, electromechanical, and mechanical components … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$181.36
Market Cap$2.86B
Float14.5M
Shares Outstanding15.1M
P/E (Forward)43.29
Price/Sales (TTM)3.30
vs. Analyst Target+16.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.45%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.62%
Revenue (TTM)$865M
Earnings Growth (YoY)56.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$212.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $629M $29.2M $138M $74.5M
2021 $645M $136M $142M $210M
2022 $713M $28.8M $144M $76.3M
2023 $757M $15.9M $163M $69.7M
2024 $787M $31.5M $197M $85.6M
2025 $825M -$37.4M $222M -$913,000

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $213M -$64.4M
Dec 2025 $217M $9.3M
Mar 2026 $209M $9.9M
Jun 2026 $224M $20.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership101.4%
Short Float5.6%
% of All Funds Holding3.07%
Number of Funds Holding270

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$183.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$139.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$108.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$75.96Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$138.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$107.55Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$80.70Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$150.00 support 1.63x 1 months ago
$125.00 support 1.44x 3 months ago
$114.00 support 1.17x 5 months ago
$96.00 support 1.20x 6 months ago
$83.00 support 1.53x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.68% 0.25% 54.92% 19.20% -9.99%
1 Day 1.81% 0.43% 55.74% 33.28% -27.11%
1 Week 2.02% 0.65% 53.28% 45.21% -29.13%
2 Weeks 2.24% 0.16% 50.82% 48.77% -27.26%
1 Month 3.32% 1.86% 56.20% 58.60% -45.62%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.1%58.8%51
Feb0.3%45.1%51
Mar0.5%54.9%51
Apr4.8%56.9%51
May1.4%52.9%51
Jun2.6%56.9%51
Jul4.9%64.7%51
Aug1.2%50.0%50
Sep-2.5%42.0%50
Oct-2.7%36.0%50
Nov3.9%52.0%50
Dec1.6%52.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.10% 40.7% 2397
Tuesday 0.07% 39.7% 2599
Wednesday 0.06% 41.0% 2600
Thursday 0.09% 40.5% 2550
Friday 0.09% 40.0% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$13.5M
Net Shares Change-76,414
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings20
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Oswald Stephen G Chairman, President & CEO -$6.2M 3 3 sell
Mookerji Suman B. S.V.P., CFO -$4.9M 4 4 sell
Redondo Jerry L S.V.P., Elec. & Struc. Systems -$1.0M 1 2 sell
Tata Rajiv A. V.P., G.C. & Corp. Secretary -$233,740 1 1 sell
Gonzalez Laureen S. V.P., CHRO -$89,522.11 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-22 13 5 -$4.7M 13 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-19 Oswald Stephen G Chairman, President & CEO -$1.4M Transaction at $147.94, now +22.6%
2026-08-13 Oswald Stephen G Chairman, President & CEO -$2.5M Transaction at $142.97, now +26.9%
2026-05-15 Redondo Jerry L S.V.P., Elec. & Struc. Systems -$1.0M Transaction at $152.98, now +18.6%
2026-05-29 Gonzalez Laureen S. V.P., CHRO -$89,522.11 Transaction at $151.99, now +19.3%
2026-03-10 Mookerji Suman B. S.V.P., CFO -$1.0M Transaction at $131.90, now +37.5%
2026-03-06 Mookerji Suman B. Sr. V.P., C.F.O. -$3.5M Transaction at $104.96, now +72.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DCO on Trend Edge →