CVLT — CommVault Systems Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About CommVault Systems Inc

Commvault Systems, Inc. provides cyber resiliency solutions for enterprises to protect, secure, and recover data, applications, and identity system. The company offers Operational Recovery for backup and recovery capabilities in hybrid enterprise workloads, such as backup, restore, recovery validation, and policy-based data movement to cloud storage; Autonomous Recovery, which adds automation, orchestration, and validation intended to reduce reco… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$107.24
Market Cap$4.37B
Float41.0M
Shares Outstanding41.3M
P/E (Forward)20.04
P/E (TTM)67.09
Price/Sales (TTM)3.69
vs. Analyst Target+24.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.71%
Revenue (TTM)$1.18B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-50.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$133.20 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $723M -$31.0M $614M -$5.4M
2022 $770M $33.6M $656M $54.5M
2023 $785M -$35.8M $649M -$4.6M
2024 $839M $169M $688M $90.6M
2025 $996M $76.1M $817M $90.7M
2026 $1.18B $70.7M $950M $116M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $282M $23.5M
Sep 2025 $276M $14.7M
Dec 2025 $314M $17.8M
Mar 2026 $312M $14.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership105.0%
Short Float5.3%
% of All Funds Holding4.40%
Number of Funds Holding362

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$95.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$122.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$145.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$109.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$121.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$144.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$118.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$79.00 support 1.40x 0 months ago
$126.00 resistance 1.58x 3 months ago
$139.00 resistance 1.18x 5 months ago
$186.00 resistance 1.70x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (79 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.16% 0.16% 56.96% 10.13% -25.52%
1 Day -0.52% -0.05% 44.30% 16.64% -24.81%
1 Week 0.74% 1.40% 55.70% 23.32% -23.22%
2 Weeks 1.35% 1.52% 54.43% 21.05% -21.19%
1 Month 2.05% 2.64% 64.10% 29.78% -34.68%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.3%45.0%20
Feb-1.0%40.0%20
Mar-0.0%45.0%20
Apr1.7%60.0%20
May3.9%57.9%19
Jun3.3%63.2%19
Jul0.9%42.1%19
Aug3.0%52.6%19
Sep-0.2%47.4%19
Oct-1.6%45.0%20
Nov5.0%85.0%20
Dec1.7%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 51.8% 928
Tuesday 0.01% 50.0% 1017
Wednesday 0.15% 53.4% 1015
Thursday 0.02% 51.4% 995
Friday 0.08% 52.3% 992

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings24
Net Value-$26.1M
Net Shares Change-60,858
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings21
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mirchandani Sanjay President and CEO -$5.4M 4 3 sell
DiRico Jennifer Leigh Chief Financial Officer -$2.1M 2 2 sell
Merrill Gary Chief Financial Officer -$791,727.76 2 2 sell
Abrahamsen Danielle Nicole Chief Accounting Officer -$116,359.913 2 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-11 – 2025-08-20 5 5 -$7.4M 3 C-suite
2025-09-05 – 2025-09-16 3 3 -$5.6M 2 C-suite
2025-11-20 – 2025-11-20 3 3 -$4.1M 3 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-02-20 3 3 -$1.0M 3 C-suite
2026-05-19 – 2026-05-26 9 3 -$6.8M 9 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-19 Mirchandani Sanjay President and CEO -$884,094.78 Transaction at $104.54, now +2.6%
2026-05-19 Merrill Gary Chief Financial Officer -$323,864.92 Transaction at $104.54, now +2.6%
2026-05-26 Mirchandani Sanjay President and CEO -$1.0M Transaction at $107.39, now -0.1%
2026-02-19 Abrahamsen Danielle Nicole Chief Accounting Officer -$19,681.04 Transaction at $90.28, now +18.8%
2026-05-19 Abrahamsen Danielle Nicole Chief Accounting Officer -$96,678.873 Transaction at $104.52, now +2.6%
2026-02-20 Mirchandani Sanjay President and CEO -$585,014.4 Transaction at $90.28, now +18.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CommVault Systems Inc (CVLT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CVLT on Trend Edge →