CVLT — CommVault Systems Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CVLT Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 24, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About CommVault Systems Inc

Commvault Systems, Inc. provides cyber resiliency solutions for enterprises to protect, secure, and recover data, applications, and identity system. The company offers Operational Recovery for backup and recovery capabilities in hybrid enterprise workloads, such as backup, restore, recovery validation, and policy-based data movement to cloud storage; Autonomous Recovery, which adds automation, orchestration, and validation intended to reduce reco… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$134.31
Market Cap$5.46B
Float40.8M
Shares Outstanding41.4M
P/E (Forward)26.11
P/E (TTM)87.75
Price/Sales (TTM)4.49
vs. Analyst Target+20.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.95%
Revenue (TTM)$1.22B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-3.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$161.15 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $723M -$31.0M $614M -$5.4M
2022 $770M $33.6M $656M $54.5M
2023 $785M -$35.8M $649M -$4.6M
2024 $839M $169M $688M $90.6M
2025 $996M $76.1M $817M $90.7M
2026 $1.18B $70.7M $950M $106M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $276M $14.7M
Dec 2025 $314M $17.8M
Mar 2026 $312M $14.6M
Jun 2026 $314M $21.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership111.1%
Short Float7.9%
% of All Funds Holding4.85%
Number of Funds Holding427

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$139.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$113.45Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$140.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$114.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$110.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$141.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$124.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$78.00 support 1.38x 3 months ago
$186.00 resistance 1.70x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.14% 0.17% 57.50% 10.13% -25.52%
1 Day -0.51% -0.03% 45.00% 16.64% -24.81%
1 Week 0.87% 1.46% 56.25% 23.32% -23.22%
2 Weeks 1.56% 1.69% 55.00% 21.05% -21.19%
1 Month 2.34% 2.68% 64.56% 29.78% -34.68%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.3%45.0%20
Feb-1.0%40.0%20
Mar-0.0%45.0%20
Apr1.7%60.0%20
May4.7%60.0%20
Jun4.1%65.0%20
Jul-0.0%40.0%20
Aug3.0%52.6%19
Sep-0.2%47.4%19
Oct-1.6%45.0%20
Nov5.0%85.0%20
Dec1.7%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 51.9% 941
Tuesday -0.01% 49.7% 1029
Wednesday 0.15% 53.4% 1028
Thursday 0.04% 51.8% 1008
Friday 0.09% 52.4% 1003

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 111.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings26
Net Value-$23.1M
Net Shares Change-47,817
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings23
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mirchandani Sanjay President & CEO -$6.0M 4 3 sell
Merrill Gary Chief Financial Officer -$323,864.92 1 1 sell
DiRico Jennifer Leigh Chief Financial Officer -$102,571.4 1 1 sell
Lee Vivie -$79,843.05 1 N/A
Sanders A Shane -$63,874.44 1 N/A
Haydon William Geoffrey President of Cust & Field Ops -$42,590.48 1 1 sell
Abrahamsen Danielle Nicole Chief Accounting Officer -$19,681.04 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-05 – 2025-09-16 3 3 -$5.6M 2 C-suite
2025-11-20 – 2025-11-20 3 3 -$4.1M 3 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-02-20 3 3 -$1.0M 3 C-suite
2026-05-19 – 2026-05-26 9 3 -$6.8M 9 C-suite
2026-08-10 – 2026-08-19 6 6 -$4.2M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Haydon William Geoffrey President of Cust & Field Ops -$42,590.48 Transaction at $134.78, now -0.3%
2026-05-19 Mirchandani Sanjay President & CEO -$884,094.78 Transaction at $104.54, now +28.5%
2026-05-19 Merrill Gary Chief Financial Officer -$323,864.92 Transaction at $104.54, now +28.5%
2026-05-26 Mirchandani Sanjay President & CEO -$1.0M Transaction at $107.39, now +25.1%
2026-02-19 Abrahamsen Danielle Nicole Chief Accounting Officer -$19,681.04 Transaction at $90.28, now +48.8%
2026-08-10 Sanders A Shane -$63,874.44 Transaction at $134.19, now +0.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CommVault Systems Inc (CVLT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CVLT on Trend Edge →