CVGI — Commercial Vehicle Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CVGI Bearish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 27, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Commercial Vehicle Group Inc

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides systems, assemblies, and components to the vehicle market and electric vehicle markets in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in three segments: Global Seating, Global Electrical Systems, and Trim Systems and Components. The Global Seating segment designs, manufactures, and sells vehicle seats for the vehicle markets, including heavy duty (HD)tr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.62
Market Cap$158M
Float25.6M
Shares Outstanding33.9M
P/E (Forward)13.53
Price/Sales (TTM)0.24
vs. Analyst Target+62.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.97%
Revenue (TTM)$651M
Earnings Growth (YoY)28.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $718M -$37.0M $74.1M $24.6M
2021 $972M $23.7M $119M $68.5M
2022 $783M -$22.0M $85.0M $42.6M
2023 $835M $49.4M $122M $58.3M
2024 $723M -$27.9M $82.3M $26.4M
2025 $649M -$22.8M $68.4M $12.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $172M -$4.8M
Sep 2025 $152M -$7.1M
Dec 2025 $155M -$6.6M
Mar 2026 $171M $902,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.2%
Institutional Ownership47.7%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.83%
Number of Funds Holding68

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.41Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.20 support 1.14x 1 months ago
$3.30 support 1.00x 2 months ago
$1.70 support 6.48x 3 months ago
$1.30 support 1.55x 12 months ago
$1.00 support 1.33x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (87 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.24% 51.72% 22.22% -18.53%
1 Day -0.69% -0.56% 42.53% 28.87% -26.72%
1 Week 0.95% -1.49% 44.83% 107.41% -44.44%
2 Weeks 0.53% -1.82% 40.23% 132.72% -51.84%
1 Month 2.83% -1.43% 47.67% 159.26% -50.54%

Next earnings: August 3, 2026 (8 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%45.5%22
Feb-2.3%45.5%22
Mar2.0%59.1%22
Apr8.4%50.0%22
May7.7%59.1%22
Jun2.1%45.5%22
Jul-1.3%42.9%21
Aug5.7%42.9%21
Sep-0.7%40.9%22
Oct-2.2%54.5%22
Nov5.0%59.1%22
Dec-1.7%45.5%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.21% 50.0% 1034
Tuesday -0.16% 44.5% 1134
Wednesday 0.12% 47.7% 1134
Thursday 0.16% 48.1% 1112
Friday 0.09% 46.7% 1106

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 47.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change335,079
% of Float1.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ray James R Jr +N/A 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-04 Ray James R Jr +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CVGI on Trend Edge →