CTM — Castellum Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CTM Bearish with a Setup Score of 57, net conviction 52, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score57
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction52
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Castellum Inc.

Castellum, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in the United States and internationally. It offers intelligence analysis, software development and engineering, program management, strategic and mission planning, information assurance, cybersecurity and policy support, data analytics, and model-based systems engineering services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.62
Market Cap$58.0M
Float83.3M
Shares Outstanding94.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)1.05
vs. Analyst Target+222.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-4.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)-7.89%
Revenue (TTM)$55.3M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $13.3M -$2.7M $6.2M $362,287
2021 $25.1M -$7.5M $11.1M -$5.8M
2022 $42.2M -$14.9M $17.6M -$8.1M
2023 $45.2M -$17.8M $18.7M -$13.3M
2024 $44.8M -$10.0M $18.3M -$6.5M
2025 $52.9M -$2.4M $19.4M -$285,536

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $14.6M $415,401
Dec 2025 $12.6M -$1.3M
Mar 2026 $14.3M -$351,274
Jun 2026 $13.9M -$1.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.1%
Institutional Ownership8.4%
Short Float8.5%
% of All Funds Holding0.40%
Number of Funds Holding35

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.69Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.30 resistance 1.54x 18 months ago
$2.00 resistance 2.20x 20 months ago
$0.30 support 6.19x 21 months ago
$0.20 support 4.68x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (16 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.95% -0.15% 43.75% 24.07% -5.33%
1 Day -1.46% -0.55% 43.75% 15.74% -19.19%
1 Week -7.28% -7.45% 37.50% 17.02% -34.01%
2 Weeks -4.88% -3.80% 43.75% 26.38% -33.96%
1 Month -2.71% -3.52% 43.75% 77.51% -42.29%

Next earnings: November 6, 2026 (27 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 1.01% 43.9% 187
Tuesday -0.55% 36.4% 206
Wednesday -0.66% 35.8% 204
Thursday 0.72% 42.4% 198
Friday 0.87% 50.7% 201

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 8.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$654,431.126
Net Shares Change-616,244
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings19
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Merriman Andrew Chief Operating Officer +$32,452.763 3 3 buy
Ives Glen R President +$8,331.184 3 3 buy
MARTIN TAMMY L General Counsel and Secretary +$1,482.763 2 2 buy
Bell David T Chief Financial Officer +$1,482.763 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-18 – 2026-03-27 6 3 -$53,667.5 4 C-suite
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-02 4 4 +$2,979.216 4 C-suite
2026-10-01 – 2026-10-01 4 4 +$3,151.258 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-10-01 MARTIN TAMMY L General Counsel and Secretary +$747.139 Transaction at $0.54, now +15.8%
2026-10-01 Bell David T Chief Financial Officer +$747.139 Transaction at $0.54, now +15.8%
2026-10-01 Merriman Andrew Chief Operating Officer +$747.139 Transaction at $0.54, now +15.8%
2026-10-01 Ives Glen R President +$909.84 Transaction at $0.54, now +15.8%
2026-09-09 Merriman Andrew Chief Operating Officer +$30,970 Transaction at $0.62, now +0.1%
2026-07-02 MARTIN TAMMY L General Counsel and Secretary +$735.624 Transaction at $0.61, now +1.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Castellum Inc. (CTM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CTM on Trend Edge →