CRNC — Cerence Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Cerence Inc

Cerence Inc. provides AI-powered assistants for the mobility/transportation market in the United States, the rest of the Americas, Germany, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, and the rest of the Asia-Pacific. The company offers edge software components, cloud-connected components, virtual assistant, and professional services. It also provides conversational and generative artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.34
Market Cap$418M
Float43.8M
Shares Outstanding45.2M
P/E (Forward)43.10
Price/Sales (TTM)1.38
vs. Analyst Target-5.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-6.50%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.61%
Revenue (TTM)$302M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-92.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.75 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $331M -$18.3M $211M $29.7M
2021 $387M $45.9M $273M $91.9M
2022 $328M -$311M $219M -$160M
2023 $294M -$56.3M $193M -$5.6M
2024 $332M -$588M $242M -$561M
2025 $252M -$18.7M $181M $12.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $62.2M -$2.7M
Sep 2025 $60.6M -$13.4M
Dec 2025 $115M -$5.2M
Mar 2026 $64.2M $1.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.7%
Institutional Ownership81.3%
Short Float13.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.21%
Number of Funds Holding182

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.15Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.20 support 3.23x 17 months ago
$15.80 resistance 1.08x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (27 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.75% 0.00% 48.15% 32.32% -21.01%
1 Day -0.02% 0.10% 51.85% 27.53% -29.04%
1 Week 1.04% -0.87% 40.74% 48.60% -36.46%
2 Weeks 0.07% -2.67% 48.15% 59.60% -48.89%
1 Month 0.73% -5.24% 38.46% 88.04% -49.68%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.34% 49.4% 314
Tuesday -0.08% 46.8% 348
Wednesday -0.06% 47.1% 344
Thursday 0.09% 47.5% 337
Friday 0.40% 47.2% 337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$4.6M
Net Shares Change-372,837
% of Float-0.9%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Salinas Jennifer EVP Chief Admin Officer -$1.8M 1 N/A
Krzanich Brian M Chief Executive Officer -$1.5M 1 N/A
Rodriquez Antonio CFO -$489,204.183 1 N/A
Mentz Christian EVP, Chief Revenue Officer -$393,757.366 2 2 sell
Schanz Nils EVP Product and Technology -$389,863.088 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-07 – 2025-10-10 5 5 -$4.5M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-07 Mentz Christian EVP, Chief Revenue Officer -$342,814.166 Transaction at $12.76, now -11.1%
2025-08-18 Mentz Christian EVP, Chief Revenue Officer -$50,943.2 Transaction at $12.74, now -11.0%
2025-10-10 Krzanich Brian M Chief Executive Officer -$1.5M Transaction at $11.46, now -1.0%
2025-10-07 Salinas Jennifer EVP Chief Admin Officer -$1.8M Transaction at $12.51, now -9.4%
2025-10-07 Schanz Nils EVP Product and Technology -$389,863.088 Transaction at $12.76, now -11.1%
2025-10-07 Rodriquez Antonio CFO -$489,204.183 Transaction at $12.76, now -11.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cerence Inc (CRNC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CRNC on Trend Edge →