CRCL — Circle Internet Group, Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Circle Internet Group, Inc.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. operates as a platform, network, and market infrastructure for stablecoin and blockchain applications. The company provides various platform including Arc Blockchain and Developer Infrastructure, an open, layer-1 blockchain network purpose-built to bring real world economic activity onchain; Circle Digital Assets and Services, which includes circle digital assets, USDC, EURC, and USYC, as well as circle mint and xreser… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$102.64
Market Cap$30.71B
Float207.1M
Shares Outstanding229.9M
P/E (Forward)90.91
Price/Sales (TTM)10.42
vs. Analyst Target+44.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.48%
Revenue (TTM)$2.86B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-80.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$148.07

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $15.4M $3.8M -$7.1M -$9.3M
2021 $84.9M -$508M -$25.9M -$495M
2022 $772M -$769M $250M -$743M
2023 $1.45B $268M $427M $356M
2024 $1.68B $156M $395M $274M
2025 $2.75B -$69.5M $238M -$25.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $658M -$482M
Sep 2025 $740M $214M
Dec 2025 $770M $133M
Mar 2026 $694M $55.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.4%
Institutional Ownership63.3%
Short Float11.0%
% of All Funds Holding6.10%
Number of Funds Holding501

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$102.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$99.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$98.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.90% -1.62% 0.00% -0.32% -4.03%
1 Day -3.00% -5.38% 25.00% 4.90% -6.16%
1 Week -6.64% -15.64% 25.00% 27.18% -22.44%
2 Weeks 2.67% -7.38% 33.33% 37.33% -21.94%
1 Month -4.52% -3.82% 33.33% 8.14% -17.87%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 63.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.4%

Founder-led management: Jeremy Allaire (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings74
Net Value-$197M
Net Shares Change15,291,125
% of Float7.4%
C-Suite Filings39
Clusters Detected10

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Allaire Jeremy Chairman and CEO -$50.1M 1 3 sell
Date Rajeev V -$37.2M 3 5 sell
Neville Patrick Sean -$29.3M 1 3 sell
BURNS M MICHELE -$14.6M 3 3 sell
Ostling Danita K -$378,872 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-09 – 2025-06-10 10 10 -$292M 4 C-suite
2025-08-20 – 2025-08-20 10 10 -$101M 5 C-suite
2025-11-17 – 2025-11-25 6 3 -$41.5M
2025-12-03 – 2025-12-16 7 6 -$13.4M 6 C-suite
2025-12-23 – 2026-01-06 4 4 -$2.2M 4 C-suite
2026-03-02 – 2026-03-16 19 10 -$54.9M 10 C-suite
2026-03-24 – 2026-04-03 4 4 -$6.0M 3 C-suite
2026-04-08 – 2026-04-15 3 3 -$1.9M 1 C-suite
2026-04-23 – 2026-05-05 5 5 -$7.0M 3 C-suite
2026-05-08 – 2026-05-22 3 3 -$1.4M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-13 Ostling Danita K -$158,472 Transaction at $132.06, now -22.3%
2025-06-09 Allaire Jeremy Chairman and CEO -$50.1M Transaction at $30.15, now +240.4%
2026-03-04 BURNS M MICHELE -$11.2M Transaction at $48.59, now +111.2%
2026-03-02 Ostling Danita K -$220,400 Transaction at $88.16, now +16.4%
2025-06-09 Neville Patrick Sean -$29.3M Transaction at $29.30, now +250.3%
2026-03-05 BURNS M MICHELE -$2.6M Transaction at $52.54, now +95.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CRCL on Trend Edge →