CETX — Cemtrex Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CETX Bearish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 54, actionability 27. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score38
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction54
Actionability27 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Cemtrex Inc

Cemtrex, Inc. operates as a diversified industrial and technology company. It operates through Security and Industrial Services segments. The company offers browser-based video monitoring and analytics-based recognition systems, cameras, servers, and access control systems for security and surveillance in industrial and commercial facilities, federal prisons, hospitals, universities, schools, and federal and state government offices; and provides… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.72
Market Cap$3.1M
Float1.7M
Shares Outstanding1.7M
P/E (Forward)5.69
P/E (TTM)0.01
Price/Sales (TTM)0.04
vs. Analyst Target+539.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-38.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)-6.47%
Revenue (TTM)$71.2M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-99.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $43.5M -$8.9M $19.4M -$66,505
2021 $43.1M $393,778 $17.0M $5.9M
2022 $50.3M -$13.3M $19.1M -$5.2M
2023 $59.4M -$9.2M $25.7M -$8,743
2024 $66.9M -$7.2M $27.5M -$4.0M
2025 $76.5M -$27.9M $30.9M -$23.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $18.5M -$3.0M
Dec 2025 $16.1M -$20.6M
Mar 2026 $18.1M $907,048
Jun 2026 $18.4M -$4.5M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership3.3%
Short Float13.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.15%
Number of Funds Holding13

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.31Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$66.24Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$696331.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$65.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$358214.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$27.50 resistance 2.02x 8 months ago
$48.00 resistance 1.72x 10 months ago
$168.00 resistance 2.45x 12 months ago
$1350.00 resistance 3.48x 22 months ago
$31500.00 resistance 9.90x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.57% 0.00% 47.73% 44.08% -15.09%
1 Day -1.62% -2.82% 27.27% 41.23% -22.64%
1 Week -3.84% -8.14% 34.09% 53.43% -28.81%
2 Weeks -3.22% -13.81% 29.55% 203.53% -46.86%
1 Month -3.82% -12.50% 30.23% 190.64% -60.80%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%45.5%11
Feb-11.9%36.4%11
Mar-8.4%36.4%11
Apr-6.6%27.3%11
May-15.1%36.4%11
Jun10.3%45.5%11
Jul-6.1%25.0%12
Aug-10.5%16.7%12
Sep-13.3%16.7%12
Oct-12.5%27.3%11
Nov-7.9%27.3%11
Dec-8.8%9.1%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 36.7% 532
Tuesday -0.37% 41.0% 585
Wednesday -0.26% 44.3% 582
Thursday -0.61% 41.8% 572
Friday -0.41% 44.6% 569

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 3.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Founder-led management: Saagar Govil (Chairman, President, Chief Executive Officer, Executive Officer and Secretary)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cemtrex Inc (CETX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CETX on Trend Edge →