CAE — CAE Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About CAE Inc.

CAE Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides training, simulation, and critical operation solutions in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, the Oceania, Africa, and rest of the Americas. It operates through two segments, Civil Aviation; and Defense and Security. The Civil Aviation segment offers training solutions for flight, cabin, maintenance, ground personnel, and air traffic controllers in commercial, business, a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$24.67
Market Cap$8.67B
Float290.6M
Shares Outstanding321.8M
P/E (Forward)29.24
P/E (TTM)31.33
Price/Sales (TTM)1.78
vs. Analyst Target+34.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.73%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.62%
Revenue (TTM)$4.86B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-35.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$33.24 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.55B $219M $730M $573M
2021 $2.98B -$47.2M $765M $351M
2022 $3.37B $142M $956M $577M
2023 $4.01B $223M $1.08B $786M
2024 $4.28B -$304M $1.15B $165M
2025 $4.71B $405M $1.30B $1.12B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $1.28B $136M
Jun 2025 $1.10B $57.2M
Sep 2025 $1.24B $73.9M
Dec 2025 $1.25B $109M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership84.9%
Short Float1.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.33%
Number of Funds Holding274

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$28.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$22.97Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$28.04Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$23.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$29.40 resistance 1.29x 1 months ago
$31.90 resistance 1.23x 2 months ago
$22.70 support 1.03x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (96 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.16% -0.22% 41.67% 9.21% -10.59%
1 Day -0.29% -0.50% 39.58% 13.91% -14.03%
1 Week -0.75% -0.16% 49.47% 22.22% -28.82%
2 Weeks -0.05% -0.61% 45.26% 48.38% -19.97%
1 Month -0.94% -0.51% 45.26% 33.33% -41.07%

Next earnings: August 9, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%50.0%24
Feb1.3%50.0%24
Mar-2.2%54.2%24
Apr3.0%70.8%24
May3.1%60.9%23
Jun2.2%47.8%23
Jul1.7%56.5%23
Aug-2.3%29.2%24
Sep-2.9%50.0%24
Oct1.6%62.5%24
Nov2.3%54.2%24
Dec4.3%66.7%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 48.9% 1123
Tuesday 0.14% 49.4% 1233
Wednesday 0.01% 50.2% 1230
Thursday 0.07% 51.0% 1206
Friday 0.04% 50.2% 1202

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CAE Inc. (CAE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CAE on Trend Edge →