BZUN — Baozun Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BZUN Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 20, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction20
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Baozun Inc

Baozun Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of end-to-end e-commerce solutions in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, E-Commerce and Brand Management. The company offers end-to-end e-commerce solutions, including sales of apparel, and home and electronic products; online store design and setup; visual merchandising and marketing; online store operations; customer services; warehousing; and order fulfil… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.88
Market Cap$162M
Float41.6M
Shares Outstanding53.7M
P/E (Forward)16.37
Price/Sales (TTM)0.02
vs. Analyst Target+46.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.01%
Revenue (TTM)$10.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-47.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.23 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.85B $426M $3.27B $669M
2021 $9.40B -$220M $3.46B $110M
2022 $8.40B -$653M $3.42B -$327M
2023 $8.81B -$278M $3.90B $75.9M
2024 $9.42B -$185M $4.49B $191M
2025 $9.95B -$242M $5.06B $65.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.55B -$34.0M
Sep 2025 $2.16B -$107M
Dec 2025 $3.17B -$38.0M
Mar 2026 $2.38B -$7.5M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership24.3%
Short Float1.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.77%
Number of Funds Holding63

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.77Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.40 support 1.41x 2 months ago
$2.30 support 1.12x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.24% -0.30% 38.64% 4.04% -6.02%
1 Day -0.54% 0.22% 52.27% 10.18% -14.49%
1 Week 1.84% 2.93% 61.36% 22.88% -17.41%
2 Weeks 2.54% 0.49% 54.55% 44.20% -26.96%
1 Month 2.30% -1.69% 48.84% 77.03% -34.98%

Next earnings: August 8, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.7%63.6%11
Feb-2.5%45.5%11
Mar-2.6%27.3%11
Apr1.1%54.5%11
May4.8%54.5%11
Jun5.7%66.7%12
Jul3.2%63.6%11
Aug0.7%18.2%11
Sep-0.6%36.4%11
Oct-1.2%27.3%11
Nov-6.4%27.3%11
Dec-2.4%45.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 44.6% 523
Tuesday 0.24% 50.9% 576
Wednesday 0.22% 49.7% 573
Thursday -0.14% 45.6% 564
Friday -0.02% 47.5% 560

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 24.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Founder-led management: Vincent Wenbin Qiu (Founder, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer), Junhua Wu (Co-Founder, Chief Strategy Officer and Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings25
Net Value+$1.4M
Net Shares Change512,092
% of Float1.2%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wu Junhua Chief Strategy Officer +$287,530 5 5 buy
Qiu Wenbin Chief Executive Officer +$246,700 5 5 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-26 Wu Junhua Chief Strategy Officer +$82,650 Transaction at $2.85, now +1.1%
2026-06-22 Wu Junhua Chief Strategy Officer +$52,540 Transaction at $2.84, now +1.4%
2026-06-15 Wu Junhua Chief Strategy Officer +$48,420 Transaction at $2.69, now +7.1%
2026-06-24 Qiu Wenbin Chief Executive Officer +$28,100 Transaction at $2.81, now +2.5%
2026-06-22 Qiu Wenbin Chief Executive Officer +$56,000 Transaction at $2.80, now +2.9%
2026-06-17 Qiu Wenbin Chief Executive Officer +$55,100 Transaction at $2.75, now +4.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Baozun Inc (BZUN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BZUN on Trend Edge →