BWXT — BWX Technologies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BWXT Bullish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 44, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction44
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About BWX Technologies Inc

BWX Technologies, Inc. manufactures and sells nuclear components in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Government Operations and Commercial Operations. It manufactures precision naval nuclear components, reactors, and nuclear fuel; close-tolerance and high-quality equipment for nuclear applications; critical nuclear components, fuels and assemblies for government and limited other uses; down… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$149.73
Market Cap$14.33B
Float91.2M
Shares Outstanding91.6M
P/E (Forward)37.74
P/E (TTM)42.05
Price/Sales (TTM)4.08
vs. Analyst Target+56.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.11%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.39%
Revenue (TTM)$3.51B
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.10%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$234.45 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.12B $279M $575M $454M
2021 $2.12B $306M $550M $501M
2022 $2.23B $238M $552M $425M
2023 $2.50B $246M $621M $447M
2024 $2.70B $282M $655M $474M
2025 $3.20B $330M $732M $552M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $866M $82.1M
Dec 2025 $886M $93.0M
Mar 2026 $861M $91.2M
Jun 2026 $902M $89.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership94.4%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding9.54%
Number of Funds Holding839

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$173.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$193.82Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$168.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$118.52Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$189.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$164.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$128.02Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$146.00 support 1.30x 11 months ago
$126.00 support 1.42x 13 months ago
$111.00 support 1.33x 14 months ago
$99.00 support 1.16x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.68% 0.52% 56.92% 13.94% -14.29%
1 Day 0.41% 0.91% 56.92% 17.79% -23.75%
1 Week 0.71% 1.07% 60.00% 23.96% -27.71%
2 Weeks -0.03% 1.79% 58.46% 23.70% -29.01%
1 Month 1.10% 1.55% 59.38% 29.43% -32.22%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.1%75.0%16
Feb5.7%75.0%16
Mar0.9%68.8%16
Apr1.4%62.5%16
May-0.4%37.5%16
Jun2.0%56.3%16
Jul0.4%62.5%16
Aug1.1%60.0%15
Sep-0.1%50.0%16
Oct4.6%75.0%16
Nov-0.3%68.8%16
Dec-0.3%62.5%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 51.8% 757
Tuesday 0.01% 50.7% 831
Wednesday 0.07% 50.0% 828
Thursday 0.12% 53.1% 813
Friday 0.12% 53.2% 810

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$8.3M
Net Shares Change-43,327
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Geveden Rex D President and CEO -$7.8M 4 N/A
Burbach Gerhard F -$413,676.803 1 1 sell
Gorman Kevin James VP & Chief Accounting Officer -$288,574.406 1 1 sell
Fitzgerald Michael Thomas SVP & Chief Financial Officer -$256,839.605 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Fitzgerald Michael Thomas SVP & Chief Financial Officer -$256,839.605 Transaction at $156.12, now -4.1%
2026-03-04 Gorman Kevin James VP & Chief Accounting Officer -$288,574.406 Transaction at $214.71, now -30.3%
2026-02-27 Burbach Gerhard F -$413,676.803 Transaction at $208.61, now -28.2%
2026-08-13 Geveden Rex D President and CEO -$1.7M Transaction at $172.50, now -13.2%
2026-02-13 Geveden Rex D President and CEO -$2.0M Transaction at $203.26, now -26.3%
2025-11-13 Geveden Rex D President and CEO -$2.0M Transaction at $197.90, now -24.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BWXT on Trend Edge →