BOX — Box Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BOX Bearish with a Setup Score of 63, net conviction 35, actionability 114. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score63
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability114 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Box Inc

Box, Inc. provides a cloud content management platform that enables organizations of various sizes to manage cloud content from anywhere and on any device in the United States, Poland, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company's Software-as-a-Service platform enables users to work with their content as they need from secure external collaboration, workspaces to e-signature processes, and content workflows improving employee productivit… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$28.64
Market Cap$3.99B
Float142.8M
Shares Outstanding138.5M
P/E (Forward)15.48
P/E (TTM)45.00
Price/Sales (TTM)5.90
vs. Analyst Target+13.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-19.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)-22.15%
Revenue (TTM)$676M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-58.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$32.50 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $771M -$43.4M $546M $37.8M
2022 $874M -$41.5M $625M $53.6M
2023 $991M $26.8M $738M $105M
2024 $1.04B $129M $777M $114M
2025 $1.09B $245M $862M $113M
2026 $1.18B $101M $933M $141M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $294M $13.4M
Oct 2025 $301M $11.2M
Jan 2026 $306M $68.5M
Apr 2026 $306M $17.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.3%
Institutional Ownership105.2%
Short Float9.5%
% of All Funds Holding4.47%
Number of Funds Holding367

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.31Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$27.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$29.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.92Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$27.04Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$29.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.70 support 1.11x 1 months ago
$29.90 resistance 1.20x 5 months ago
$37.80 resistance 1.10x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (46 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.02% 0.57% 58.70% 13.10% -22.75%
1 Day -0.96% -0.22% 47.83% 17.23% -23.32%
1 Week -1.42% -1.29% 39.13% 25.89% -23.91%
2 Weeks -1.33% -1.38% 41.30% 29.43% -29.24%
1 Month -2.23% -2.97% 40.00% 30.56% -21.70%

Next earnings: August 25, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%54.5%11
Feb2.0%50.0%12
Mar-0.6%50.0%12
Apr1.9%66.7%12
May6.1%75.0%12
Jun-1.8%33.3%12
Jul-0.6%45.5%11
Aug0.5%63.6%11
Sep-1.6%27.3%11
Oct-0.1%45.5%11
Nov3.6%63.6%11
Dec-1.4%36.4%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 50.5% 539
Tuesday -0.06% 47.6% 593
Wednesday 0.23% 51.2% 590
Thursday -0.02% 51.2% 580
Friday 0.10% 50.1% 575

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.3%

Founder-led management: Aaron Levie (Chief Executive Officer, Co-Founder, Director), Dylan Smith (Chief Financial Officer and Co-Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings39
Net Value-$11.4M
Net Shares Change-326,952
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings35
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Berkovitch Eli VP Chief Acct Ofr & Controller -$1.2M 6 6 sell
Nottebohm Olivia Chief Operating Officer -$313,882.37 1 N/A
EVAN DANA L -$222,259.632 1 1 sell
LAZAR JACK R -$160,975 1 N/A
Mayer Bethany -$105,561.218 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-14 – 2025-07-22 3 3 -$665,668.5 3 C-suite
2025-09-30 – 2025-10-14 4 4 -$990,142.7 3 C-suite
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-17 4 4 -$1.2M 3 C-suite
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-12 3 3 -$909,884.36 3 C-suite
2026-03-26 – 2026-04-08 4 3 -$1.1M 3 C-suite
2026-05-29 – 2026-06-10 3 3 -$772,540.26 3 C-suite
2026-06-22 – 2026-06-29 4 4 -$732,257.998 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-22 Berkovitch Eli VP Chief Acct Ofr & Controller -$116,191.8 Transaction at $25.08, now +14.2%
2026-05-29 Berkovitch Eli VP Chief Acct Ofr & Controller -$159,736.5 Transaction at $25.36, now +13.0%
2026-04-08 Berkovitch Eli VP Chief Acct Ofr & Controller -$584,300.5 Transaction at $23.85, now +20.1%
2026-06-29 Mayer Bethany -$105,561.218 Transaction at $26.00, now +10.2%
2026-04-08 EVAN DANA L -$222,259.632 Transaction at $17.71, now +61.7%
2025-12-17 Berkovitch Eli VP Chief Acct Ofr & Controller -$154,683.48 Transaction at $29.96, now -4.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Box Inc (BOX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BOX on Trend Edge →