BHP — BHP Group Limited

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About BHP Group Limited

BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It also engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$87.83
Market Cap$215.78B
Float4.92B
Shares Outstanding2.54B
P/E (Forward)15.58
P/E (TTM)21.08
Price/Sales (TTM)4.00
vs. Analyst Target-22.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.73%
Revenue (TTM)$53.99B
Earnings Growth (YoY)27.50%
Dividend Rate2.7%
Analyst Target Price$68.07 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $39.15B $7.96B $31.77B $18.05B
2021 $57.26B $11.30B $49.51B $33.29B
2022 $65.10B $30.90B $55.76B $37.28B
2023 $53.82B $12.92B $42.87B $25.58B
2024 $55.66B $7.90B $45.73B $26.84B
2025 $51.26B $9.02B $42.14B $23.44B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2024 $28.43B $6.97B
Dec 2024 $25.18B $4.42B
Jun 2025 $26.09B $4.60B
Dec 2025 $27.95B $5.65B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership4.3%
Short Float0.3%
% of All Funds Holding8.50%
Number of Funds Holding699

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$80.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$65.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$57.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$58.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$67.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$58.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$58.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$70.00 support 1.24x 2 months ago
$62.00 support 1.32x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.34% -0.23% 43.42% 3.25% -7.68%
1 Day -0.35% -0.57% 40.79% 5.63% -6.24%
1 Week -0.56% -1.11% 42.11% 9.95% -16.93%
2 Weeks -0.71% -1.52% 38.16% 16.29% -22.09%
1 Month -1.79% -1.81% 42.11% 29.22% -38.96%

Next earnings: August 17, 2026 (80 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%52.2%46
Feb0.6%54.3%46
Mar0.8%52.2%46
Apr3.9%59.6%47
May1.0%52.2%46
Jun0.3%50.0%46
Jul2.6%56.5%46
Aug-0.3%45.7%46
Sep-1.2%41.3%46
Oct0.3%52.2%46
Nov1.2%52.2%46
Dec2.6%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 46.1% 2200
Tuesday 0.06% 45.6% 2389
Wednesday 0.11% 47.7% 2386
Thursday 0.01% 45.8% 2340
Friday 0.06% 46.2% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 4.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BHP Group Limited (BHP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BHP on Trend Edge →