BGC — BGC Group Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About BGC Group Inc.

BGC Group, Inc. operates as a financial brokerage and technology company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers various brokerage services, such as government bonds and corporate bonds as well as interest rate derivatives and credit derivatives, foreign exchange, fixed income products, equities and futures and options; and brokerage and trade execution of ECS products, including listed deri… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.54
Market Cap$5.33B
Float366.6M
Shares Outstanding369.6M
P/E (Forward)5.94
P/E (TTM)30.08
Price/Sales (TTM)1.72
vs. Analyst Target+47.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.07%
Revenue (TTM)$3.10B
Earnings Growth (YoY)54.80%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$15.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.04B $45.1M $829M $234M
2021 $1.99B $124M $633M $328M
2022 $1.77B $48.7M $837M $230M
2023 $1.98B $36.3M $893M $215M
2024 $2.21B $127M $980M $346M
2025 $3.01B $155M $2.69B $442M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $769M $57.5M
Sep 2025 $723M $27.9M
Dec 2025 $823M $14.4M
Mar 2026 $955M $84.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership83.6%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.03%
Number of Funds Holding331

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.54Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.62Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.90 support 1.05x 0 months ago
$11.30 resistance 1.03x 0 months ago
$7.00 support 3.15x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.00% 43.43% 11.96% -12.03%
1 Day -0.14% -0.05% 49.49% 17.80% -13.38%
1 Week -0.03% -0.97% 46.46% 25.76% -18.39%
2 Weeks 0.44% -0.89% 45.45% 37.94% -26.30%
1 Month 1.13% 0.65% 52.04% 52.61% -26.83%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.6%48.1%27
Feb-0.6%51.9%27
Mar1.1%63.0%27
Apr3.8%63.0%27
May-4.6%30.8%26
Jun4.4%53.8%26
Jul-3.5%50.0%26
Aug-2.0%38.5%26
Sep-1.8%38.5%26
Oct4.7%61.5%26
Nov3.2%57.7%26
Dec-0.1%57.7%26

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 48.1% 1248
Tuesday 0.05% 46.6% 1366
Wednesday -0.03% 47.1% 1365
Thursday 0.15% 49.7% 1339
Friday 0.06% 48.4% 1334

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$2.8M
Net Shares Change17,277,426
% of Float4.7%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LUTNICK HOWARD W -$85.7M 1 3 sell
CF GROUP MANAGEMENT INC +$82.6M 1 1 buy
CANTOR FITZGERALD, L. P. +$82.6M 1 1 buy
Lutnick Brandon +$82.6M 1 1 buy
Windeatt Sean A COO and Co-CEO -$2.3M 1 1 sell
MBANEFO ARTHUR U -$296,334.02 1 2 sell
Hauf Jason W. Chief Financial Officer -$286,166.78 1 1 sell
MERKEL STEPHEN M Chairman of the Board and GC -$152,066.31 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-06 – 2025-10-06 5 5 +$162M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-09 AUBIN JEAN-PIERRE Co-Chief Executive Officer -$95,500 Transaction at $9.55, now +10.4%
2025-10-06 LUTNICK HOWARD W -$85.7M Transaction at $9.21, now +14.5%
2026-01-23 Windeatt Sean A COO and Co-CEO -$2.3M Transaction at $9.17, now +14.9%
2025-10-06 Lutnick Brandon +$82.6M Transaction at $0.75, now +1301.0%
2025-06-12 MBANEFO ARTHUR U -$296,334.02 Transaction at $9.76, now +8.0%
2025-10-06 CF GROUP MANAGEMENT INC +$82.6M Transaction at $9.21, now +14.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BGC Group Inc. (BGC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BGC on Trend Edge →