BGC — BGC Group Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BGC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 39, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About BGC Group Inc.

BGC Group, Inc. operates as a financial brokerage and technology company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers various brokerage services, such as government bonds and corporate bonds as well as interest rate derivatives and credit derivatives, foreign exchange, fixed income products, equities and futures and options; and brokerage and trade execution of ECS products, including listed deri… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.78
Market Cap$5.26B
Float366.6M
Shares Outstanding369.6M
P/E (Forward)5.94
P/E (TTM)28.87
Price/Sales (TTM)1.70
vs. Analyst Target+43.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.07%
Revenue (TTM)$3.10B
Earnings Growth (YoY)54.80%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$15.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.04B $45.1M $829M $234M
2021 $1.99B $124M $633M $328M
2022 $1.77B $48.7M $837M $230M
2023 $1.98B $36.3M $893M $215M
2024 $2.21B $127M $980M $346M
2025 $3.01B $155M $2.69B $442M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $769M $57.5M
Sep 2025 $723M $27.9M
Dec 2025 $823M $14.4M
Mar 2026 $955M $84.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership83.4%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding4.03%
Number of Funds Holding331

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.88Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.37Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.30 resistance 1.14x 1 months ago
$9.80 support 1.01x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.00% 43.43% 11.96% -12.03%
1 Day -0.14% -0.05% 49.49% 17.80% -13.38%
1 Week -0.03% -0.97% 46.46% 25.76% -18.39%
2 Weeks 0.44% -0.89% 45.45% 37.94% -26.30%
1 Month 1.13% 0.65% 52.04% 52.61% -26.83%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.6%48.1%27
Feb-0.6%51.9%27
Mar1.1%63.0%27
Apr3.8%63.0%27
May-4.6%29.6%27
Jun4.3%55.6%27
Jul-3.5%50.0%26
Aug-2.0%38.5%26
Sep-1.8%38.5%26
Oct4.7%61.5%26
Nov3.2%57.7%26
Dec-0.1%57.7%26

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 48.0% 1254
Tuesday 0.05% 46.7% 1371
Wednesday -0.03% 47.2% 1371
Thursday 0.15% 49.7% 1345
Friday 0.06% 48.4% 1338

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$2.8M
Net Shares Change17,307,782
% of Float4.7%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LUTNICK HOWARD W -$85.7M 1 3 sell
CF GROUP MANAGEMENT INC +$82.6M 1 1 buy
CANTOR FITZGERALD, L. P. +$82.6M 1 1 buy
Lutnick Brandon +$82.6M 1 1 buy
Windeatt Sean A COO and Co-CEO -$2.3M 1 1 sell
Hauf Jason W. Chief Financial Officer -$286,166.78 1 1 sell
MERKEL STEPHEN M Chairman of the Board & GC -$152,066.31 1 1 sell
AUBIN JEAN-PIERRE Co-Chief Executive Officer -$95,500 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-06 – 2025-10-06 5 5 +$162M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-06 LUTNICK HOWARD W -$85.7M Transaction at $9.21, now +17.1%
2026-01-23 Windeatt Sean A COO and Co-CEO -$2.3M Transaction at $9.17, now +17.6%
2025-10-06 Lutnick Brandon +$82.6M Transaction at $0.75, now +1332.9%
2025-10-06 CF GROUP MANAGEMENT INC +$82.6M Transaction at $9.21, now +17.1%
2025-10-06 CANTOR FITZGERALD, L. P. +$82.6M Transaction at $9.21, now +17.1%
2026-03-09 AUBIN JEAN-PIERRE Co-Chief Executive Officer -$95,500 Transaction at $9.55, now +12.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BGC Group Inc. (BGC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BGC on Trend Edge →