BFAM — Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BFAM Bearish with a Setup Score of 61, net conviction 41, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score61
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. provides early education and childcare, comprehensive back-up care, educational advisory, and other workplace solutions services for employers and families in the United States, Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, and India. It operates in three segments: Full-Service Center-Based Child Care, Back-Up Care, and Educational Advisory services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$66.84
Market Cap$3.15B
Float42.3M
Shares Outstanding48.6M
P/E (Forward)22.62
P/E (TTM)20.58
Price/Sales (TTM)1.04
vs. Analyst Target+33.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.78%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.70%
Revenue (TTM)$3.03B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-17.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$89.22 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.52B $27.0M $305M $165M
2021 $1.76B $70.5M $415M $235M
2022 $2.02B $80.6M $479M $258M
2023 $2.42B $74.0M $532M $282M
2024 $2.69B $140M $620M $345M
2025 $2.93B $193M $691M $408M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $801M $78.6M
Dec 2025 $734M $21.7M
Mar 2026 $712M $34.1M
Jun 2026 $779M $40.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership122.4%
Short Float6.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.38%
Number of Funds Holding385

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$69.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$75.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$94.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$99.01Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$74.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$95.08Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$102.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$74.00 resistance 1.07x 0 months ago
$82.00 resistance 2.04x 4 months ago
$92.00 resistance 1.81x 7 months ago
$122.00 resistance 1.08x 14 months ago
$134.00 resistance 1.98x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.09% -0.46% 47.27% 12.62% -10.86%
1 Day 0.28% -0.02% 49.09% 18.37% -18.65%
1 Week -0.06% 1.08% 54.55% 21.34% -28.24%
2 Weeks 0.70% 2.28% 60.00% 19.78% -25.44%
1 Month 0.81% 2.84% 70.37% 20.34% -56.07%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.4%84.6%13
Feb0.9%57.1%14
Mar1.0%64.3%14
Apr-1.9%35.7%14
May-0.3%57.1%14
Jun3.6%78.6%14
Jul1.9%78.6%14
Aug2.7%64.3%14
Sep-2.7%28.6%14
Oct2.1%61.5%13
Nov0.4%69.2%13
Dec0.1%61.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 48.4% 647
Tuesday 0.05% 52.5% 710
Wednesday 0.01% 52.3% 705
Thursday 0.02% 51.2% 692
Friday 0.21% 52.7% 689

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 122.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$220,684
Net Shares Change-8,900
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TOCIO MARY ANN -$435,879.6 1 1 sell
Burke Mary Lou COO North America Center Ops -$220,684 3 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-02 TOCIO MARY ANN -$435,879.6 Transaction at $72.65, now -8.0%
2026-09-02 Burke Mary Lou COO North America Center Ops -$90,000 Transaction at $75.00, now -10.9%
2026-08-04 Burke Mary Lou COO North America Center Ops -$90,684 Transaction at $75.57, now -11.6%
2026-07-28 Burke Mary Lou COO North America Center Ops -$40,000 Transaction at $80.00, now -16.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc (BFAM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BFAM on Trend Edge →