AXON — Axon Enterprise Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AXON Bearish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 39, actionability 54. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability54 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Axon Enterprise Inc.

Axon Enterprise, Inc. provides public safety technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Software and Services, and Connected Devices. The Software and Services segment develops, manufactures, and sells cloud-based software-as-a-service solutions to capture, store, manage, share, and analyze video and other digital evidence. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$565.80
Market Cap$46.91B
Float76.8M
Shares Outstanding80.6M
P/E (Forward)74.63
P/E (TTM)243.51
Price/Sales (TTM)15.72
vs. Analyst Target+18.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.75%
Revenue (TTM)$2.98B
Earnings Growth (YoY)89.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$670.37 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $681M -$1.7M $416M $6.3M
2021 $863M -$60.0M $531M -$117M
2022 $1.19B $147M $729M $228M
2023 $1.56B $176M $955M $183M
2024 $2.08B $377M $1.24B $437M
2025 $2.78B $125M $1.66B $196M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $669M $36.1M
Sep 2025 $711M -$2.2M
Dec 2025 $797M $3.0M
Mar 2026 $807M $169M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership88.7%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding11.87%
Number of Funds Holding976

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$460.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$516.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$596.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$400.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$526.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$599.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$444.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$456.00 support 1.25x 0 months ago
$573.00 resistance 1.02x 5 months ago
$737.00 resistance 1.47x 7 months ago
$300.00 support 1.51x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.94% 0.53% 57.58% 24.75% -20.15%
1 Day 2.02% 0.31% 51.52% 28.68% -19.67%
1 Week 1.84% -0.18% 48.48% 45.94% -24.73%
2 Weeks 1.58% -2.18% 43.43% 45.49% -29.82%
1 Month 3.92% -0.52% 47.96% 93.55% -33.43%

Next earnings: August 3, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%52.0%25
Feb2.9%64.0%25
Mar1.1%60.0%25
Apr3.0%64.0%25
May4.4%52.0%25
Jun4.6%60.0%25
Jul-0.7%52.0%25
Aug5.4%52.0%25
Sep2.4%52.0%25
Oct8.7%72.0%25
Nov8.9%64.0%25
Dec2.4%56.0%25

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 50.5% 1183
Tuesday 0.19% 52.3% 1292
Wednesday 0.31% 48.8% 1292
Thursday 0.12% 50.4% 1267
Friday 0.11% 48.3% 1262

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

Founder-led management: Patrick W. Smith (Founder, CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings46
Net Value-$205M
Net Shares Change-346,457
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings36
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Isner Joshua PRESIDENT -$24.8M 2 2 sell
Bagley Brittany COO & CFO -$13.0M 2 2 sell
Fields Isaiah Chief Legal Officer -$2.3M 2 2 sell
Partovi Hadi +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Mak Jennifer H Chief Accounting Officer -$956,278.46 1 1 sell
Coughlin Elizabeth Reid Chief Human Officer -$753,690 1 1 sell
Kalinowski Caitlin Elizabeth -$270,140.377 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-11 – 2025-08-15 6 5 -$40.8M 4 C-suite
2025-09-03 – 2025-09-15 5 4 -$8.4M 4 C-suite
2025-12-03 – 2025-12-12 9 7 -$45.6M 7 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-11 8 7 -$35.1M 7 C-suite
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-08 8 8 -$29.7M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-03 Bagley Brittany COO & CFO -$10.6M Transaction at $480.94, now +17.6%
2026-06-08 Isner Joshua PRESIDENT -$6.3M Transaction at $488.45, now +15.8%
2026-06-08 Coughlin Elizabeth Reid Chief Human Officer -$753,690 Transaction at $485.00, now +16.7%
2026-05-26 Fields Isaiah Chief Legal Officer -$800,000 Transaction at $400.00, now +41.4%
2026-06-02 Kalinowski Caitlin Elizabeth -$270,140.377 Transaction at $478.97, now +18.1%
2026-03-11 Isner Joshua PRESIDENT -$18.5M Transaction at $534.39, now +5.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXON on Trend Edge →