AXON — Axon Enterprise Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AXON Bullish with a Setup Score of 27, net conviction 23, actionability 32. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score27
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction23
Actionability32 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Axon Enterprise Inc.

Axon Enterprise, Inc. provides public safety technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Software and Services, and Connected Devices. The Software and Services segment develops, manufactures, and sells cloud-based software-as-a-service solutions to capture, store, manage, share, and analyze video and other digital evidence. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$597.59
Market Cap$49.90B
Float77.3M
Shares Outstanding81.2M
P/E (Forward)81.97
P/E (TTM)255.94
Price/Sales (TTM)15.50
vs. Analyst Target+16.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.19%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.17%
Revenue (TTM)$3.22B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-18.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$693.40 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $681M -$1.7M $416M $6.3M
2021 $863M -$60.0M $531M -$117M
2022 $1.19B $147M $729M $228M
2023 $1.56B $176M $955M $183M
2024 $2.08B $377M $1.24B $437M
2025 $2.78B $125M $1.66B $196M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $711M -$2.2M
Dec 2025 $797M $3.0M
Mar 2026 $807M $169M
Jun 2026 $904M $29.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.6%
Institutional Ownership91.2%
Short Float4.6%
% of All Funds Holding12.64%
Number of Funds Holding1,112

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$557.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$502.44Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$591.43Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$416.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$509.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$597.30Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$452.82Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$456.00 support 1.25x 1 months ago
$737.00 resistance 1.47x 8 months ago
$300.00 support 1.51x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.89% 0.50% 57.00% 24.75% -20.15%
1 Day 1.85% 0.27% 51.00% 28.68% -19.67%
1 Week 1.83% -0.09% 49.00% 45.94% -24.73%
2 Weeks 1.57% -2.15% 44.00% 45.49% -29.82%
1 Month 4.06% -0.38% 48.48% 93.55% -33.43%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%52.0%25
Feb2.9%64.0%25
Mar1.1%60.0%25
Apr3.0%64.0%25
May4.4%52.0%25
Jun4.6%60.0%25
Jul-0.9%50.0%26
Aug5.4%52.0%25
Sep2.4%52.0%25
Oct8.7%72.0%25
Nov8.9%64.0%25
Dec2.4%56.0%25

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.20% 50.5% 1189
Tuesday 0.21% 52.5% 1299
Wednesday 0.30% 48.7% 1299
Thursday 0.10% 50.3% 1274
Friday 0.11% 48.3% 1269

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.6%

Founder-led management: Patrick W. Smith (Founder, CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings42
Net Value-$175M
Net Shares Change-313,796
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings34
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Isner Joshua PRESIDENT -$35.9M 3 3 sell
Bagley Brittany COO & CFO -$13.0M 2 2 sell
Fields Isaiah Chief Legal Officer -$2.3M 2 2 sell
Mak Jennifer H Chief Accounting Officer -$956,278.46 1 1 sell
Coughlin Elizabeth Reid Chief Human Officer -$753,690 1 1 sell
Kalinowski Caitlin Elizabeth -$270,140.377 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-03 – 2025-09-15 5 4 -$8.4M 4 C-suite
2025-12-03 – 2025-12-12 9 7 -$45.6M 7 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-11 8 7 -$35.1M 7 C-suite
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-08 8 8 -$29.7M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-03 Bagley Brittany COO & CFO -$10.6M Transaction at $480.94, now +24.3%
2026-06-08 Isner Joshua PRESIDENT -$6.3M Transaction at $488.45, now +22.3%
2026-06-08 Coughlin Elizabeth Reid Chief Human Officer -$753,690 Transaction at $485.00, now +23.2%
2026-06-02 Kalinowski Caitlin Elizabeth -$270,140.377 Transaction at $478.97, now +24.8%
2026-03-11 Isner Joshua PRESIDENT -$18.5M Transaction at $534.39, now +11.8%
2026-03-04 Mak Jennifer H Chief Accounting Officer -$956,278.46 Transaction at $576.27, now +3.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXON on Trend Edge →