Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About AeroVironment Inc
AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Autonomous Systems; and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. The company provides uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), which include small and medium UAS, and kinesis command and control software; and counter-UAS and precis… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: January 23, 2007
Headquarters: 241 18th Street South, Arlington, VA, United States, 22202
Founder-Led: Yes — Paul B. MacCready Jr. (Executive Vice President, MacCready Works)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$181.28
Market Cap
$8.25B
Float
37.4M
Shares Outstanding
50.6M
P/E (Forward)
44.25
Price/Sales (TTM)
5.13
vs. Analyst Target
+70.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-13.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-5.11%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.61B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.70%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$309.88 (19 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$367M
$41.1M
$153M
$56.2M
2021
$395M
$23.3M
$165M
$69.5M
2022
$446M
-$4.2M
$141M
$51.9M
2023
$541M
-$176M
$174M
$61.2M
2024
$717M
$59.7M
$284M
$109M
2025
$821M
$43.6M
$323M
$104M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Apr 2025
$275M
$16.7M
Jul 2025
$455M
-$67.4M
Oct 2025
$473M
-$17.1M
Jan 2026
$408M
-$157M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.8%
Institutional Ownership
89.3%
Short Float
12.1%
% of All Funds Holding
6.95%
Number of Funds Holding
571
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$180.30
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$260.00
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$221.61
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$164.85
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$253.75
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$221.60
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$177.89
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$284.00
resistance
1.88x
1 months ago
$154.00
support
1.01x
11 months ago
$120.00
support
1.12x
12 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.50%
0.65%
53.85%
21.43%
-36.72%
1 Day
1.53%
0.25%
50.00%
27.94%
-33.62%
1 Week
1.84%
2.13%
55.84%
27.41%
-36.04%
2 Weeks
2.11%
0.22%
51.95%
32.58%
-35.94%
1 Month
3.78%
3.72%
61.04%
69.83%
-25.43%
Next earnings: June 23, 2026 (26 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.9%
52.6%
19
Feb
-3.4%
45.0%
20
Mar
1.6%
55.0%
20
Apr
1.7%
60.0%
20
May
5.0%
57.9%
19
Jun
6.2%
57.9%
19
Jul
-0.7%
36.8%
19
Aug
1.5%
52.6%
19
Sep
1.7%
36.8%
19
Oct
6.3%
73.7%
19
Nov
-1.0%
47.4%
19
Dec
-1.0%
52.6%
19
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.16%
51.0%
913
Tuesday
0.04%
49.1%
1000
Wednesday
0.20%
48.8%
998
Thursday
0.04%
49.9%
979
Friday
-0.00%
50.4%
975
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 89.3%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.8%
Founder-led management: Paul B. MacCready Jr. (Executive Vice President, MacCready Works)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
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qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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