ASTE — Astec Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ASTE Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 37, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Astec Industries Inc

Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions. The Infrastructure Solutions segment offers asphalt plants, cold central plant recycles systems, and soil remediation plants; concrete batch plants, liquid asphalt terminals, and … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$38.71
Market Cap$893M
Float22.7M
Shares Outstanding23.0M
P/E (Forward)9.80
P/E (TTM)45.62
Price/Sales (TTM)0.57
vs. Analyst Target+73.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.35%
Revenue (TTM)$1.56B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-37.50%
Dividend Rate0.5%
Analyst Target Price$67.25 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.02B $46.0M $238M $76.0M
2021 $1.10B $15.8M $250M $61.3M
2022 $1.27B -$100,000 $264M $69.9M
2023 $1.34B $33.5M $331M $115M
2024 $1.31B $4.3M $328M $51.4M
2025 $1.41B $38.8M $374M $108M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $350M -$4.2M
Dec 2025 $401M $12.0M
Mar 2026 $396M $1.3M
Jun 2026 $408M $10.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership99.0%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.63%
Number of Funds Holding231

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$42.35Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$51.52Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$47.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$41.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$51.34Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$46.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$42.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$51.00 resistance 1.40x 1 months ago
$64.00 resistance 1.12x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.00% 48.36% 7.95% -6.97%
1 Day 0.57% 0.52% 54.10% 15.64% -10.21%
1 Week 0.83% 0.00% 49.18% 29.69% -17.16%
2 Weeks 1.16% 0.42% 50.82% 37.87% -26.60%
1 Month 2.69% 1.28% 59.50% 45.09% -28.78%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%50.0%40
Feb5.5%62.5%40
Mar3.6%47.5%40
Apr4.5%57.5%40
May-0.0%45.0%40
Jun0.4%42.5%40
Jul-1.2%41.5%41
Aug-0.6%41.5%41
Sep-2.1%51.2%41
Oct-1.7%35.0%40
Nov5.1%70.0%40
Dec2.8%60.0%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 44.4% 1915
Tuesday 0.18% 45.9% 2083
Wednesday 0.07% 45.8% 2081
Thursday 0.08% 44.8% 2042
Friday 0.06% 44.7% 2030

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$59,543.25
Net Shares Change-975
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JR GC & CORPORATE SECRETARY -$59,543.25 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-03 GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JR GC & CORPORATE SECRETARY -$59,543.25 Transaction at $61.07, now -36.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ASTE on Trend Edge →