ARQQ — Arqit Quantum Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ARQQ Bearish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 52, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction52
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Arqit Quantum Inc.

Arqit Quantum Inc. provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United Kingdom. The company offers QuantumCloud, a platform as a service that creates unbreakable software encryption keys. It also provides maintenance and support, and professional services. The company has a strategic collaboration with RAD for the development of a joint quantum-safe encryption solution for telecom networks. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.42
Market Cap$364M
Float6.0M
Shares Outstanding17.4M
P/E (Forward)18.73
Price/Sales (TTM)335.55
vs. Analyst Target+193.8% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-4931.62%
Revenue (TTM)$1.1M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$60.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$568,000 -$159,000 -$5,000
2021 $47,910 -$272M -$139,000 -$271M
2022 $7.2M $65.1M $5.9M $54.9M
2023 $640,000 -$70.4M -$1.6M -$41.2M
2024 $293,000 -$54.6M -$1.6M -$20.2M
2025 $530,000 -$35.3M -$230,000 -$36.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2024 $174,000 -$6.9M
Mar 2025 $67,000 -$19.4M
Sep 2025 $463,000 -$18.2M
Mar 2026 $623,000 -$33.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership69.3%
Institutional Ownership72.9%
Short Float48.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.73%
Number of Funds Holding64

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.86Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.27Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.90Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.30 support 2.55x 1 months ago
$5.60 support 4.38x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (9 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.30% 55.56% 4.74% -8.48%
1 Day 1.81% 0.00% 44.44% 21.98% -17.60%
1 Week 4.48% -0.50% 44.44% 53.21% -29.92%
2 Weeks 8.14% 0.81% 55.56% 78.93% -42.40%
1 Month 3.96% 0.81% 55.56% 83.15% -61.12%

Next earnings: August 9, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.75% 41.9% 253
Tuesday 0.46% 46.1% 280
Wednesday -0.13% 45.7% 278
Thursday -0.24% 43.5% 271
Friday -0.09% 44.1% 272

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 69.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$847,972.196
Net Shares Change-40,845
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lefebvre d'Ovidio Manfredi -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Leaver Andrew Chief Executive Officer -$351,950.683 2 2 sell
Bers Jennifer Chief Revenue Officer -$177,528.96 1 1 sell
Willcocks Patrick General Counsel -$168,552.023 2 2 sell
Feenan Paul Chief Revenue Officer -$46,221.568 1 1 sell
Wilder Ben Simon Chief Operating Officer -$19,380.799 1 1 sell
Ritchie Garth -$11,063.941 1 1 sell
Pointon Nicholas Chief Financial Officer -$6,895.785 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-03 – 2026-04-07 6 6 -$186,845.844 5 C-suite
2026-06-24 – 2026-07-06 8 7 -$2.3M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-06 Willcocks Patrick General Counsel -$50,632.023 Transaction at $25.20, now -19.0%
2026-07-06 Leaver Andrew Chief Executive Officer -$249,329.322 Transaction at $25.20, now -19.0%
2026-07-02 Willcocks Patrick General Counsel -$117,920 Transaction at $29.48, now -30.7%
2026-06-24 Bers Jennifer Chief Revenue Officer -$177,528.96 Transaction at $21.42, now -4.7%
2026-07-06 Feenan Paul Chief Revenue Officer -$46,221.568 Transaction at $25.20, now -19.0%
2026-07-06 Wilder Ben Simon Chief Operating Officer -$19,380.799 Transaction at $25.20, now -19.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ARQQ on Trend Edge →