ALV — Autoliv Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ALV Bearish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 18, actionability 119. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction18
Actionability119 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Autoliv Inc

Autoliv, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and supplies passive safety systems to the automotive industry in the Americas, Europe, China, and Asia. The company offers passive safety systems, such as modules and components for frontal-impact airbag protection systems, side-impact airbag protection systems, pedestrian protection systems, steering wheels, inflator technologies, battery cut-off switches, and seatbelts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$120.26
Market Cap$8.90B
Float74.5M
Shares Outstanding74.9M
P/E (Forward)10.98
P/E (TTM)12.80
Price/Sales (TTM)0.81
vs. Analyst Target+10.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.45%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.94%
Revenue (TTM)$10.99B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-12.20%
Dividend Rate3.5%
Analyst Target Price$133.24 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.45B $187M $1.25B $735M
2021 $8.23B $435M $1.51B $1.07B
2022 $8.84B $423M $1.40B $1.03B
2023 $10.47B $488M $1.82B $1.08B
2024 $10.39B $646M $1.93B $1.37B
2025 $10.81B $735M $2.07B $1.50B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.71B $167M
Sep 2025 $2.71B $175M
Dec 2025 $2.82B $226M
Mar 2026 $2.75B $142M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership77.3%
Short Float5.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.61%
Number of Funds Holding379

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$121.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$118.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$111.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$102.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$117.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$111.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$125.00 resistance 1.06x 0 months ago
$106.00 support 1.21x 2 months ago
$128.00 resistance 1.23x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.04% 51.72% 6.83% -5.96%
1 Day 0.14% -0.18% 45.69% 11.67% -7.26%
1 Week 0.15% 0.31% 51.72% 16.52% -15.70%
2 Weeks 0.86% 0.63% 54.31% 23.35% -18.15%
1 Month 1.13% 1.66% 59.13% 27.31% -32.91%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (4 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%51.7%29
Feb-0.5%51.7%29
Mar-0.4%58.6%29
Apr4.6%58.6%29
May1.4%66.7%30
Jun-2.1%46.7%30
Jul2.4%51.7%29
Aug-1.5%41.4%29
Sep-1.2%37.9%29
Oct1.3%51.7%29
Nov4.2%75.9%29
Dec0.6%62.1%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 50.0% 1379
Tuesday 0.09% 51.3% 1508
Wednesday 0.09% 51.8% 1508
Thursday -0.00% 49.2% 1477
Friday 0.03% 50.3% 1469

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 77.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$1.9M
Net Shares Change-43,608
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Carlson Jan -$2.5M 1 1 sell
Bratt Mikael President and CEO -$1.1M 1 N/A
Kortuem Franz-Josef -$999,349.05 1 1 sell
Nellis Anthony J EVP Legal and General Counsel -$214,528.74 1 N/A
Jarlegren Magnus President, Autoliv Europe -$194,333.579 1 N/A
Swahn Christian EVP, Supply Chain Management -$180,360.34 1 N/A
JADEMYR PER JONAS EVP Quality and Proj. Mgmt -$155,954.34 1 N/A
Hagstrom Mikael VP, Corporate Control -$60,526.88 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-19 – 2026-02-27 8 8 -$2.9M 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 Carlson Jan -$2.5M Transaction at $130.00, now -7.5%
2026-02-27 Kortuem Franz-Josef -$999,349.05 Transaction at $120.40, now -0.1%
2026-02-25 Bratt Mikael President and CEO -$1.1M Transaction at $123.51, now -2.6%
2026-02-26 Jarlegren Magnus President, Autoliv Europe -$194,333.579 Transaction at $121.61, now -1.1%
2026-02-25 Swahn Christian EVP, Supply Chain Management -$180,360.34 Transaction at $122.03, now -1.5%
2026-02-25 Nellis Anthony J EVP Legal and General Counsel -$214,528.74 Transaction at $122.03, now -1.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Autoliv Inc (ALV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ALV on Trend Edge →