ALM — Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ALM Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 31, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered in Dillon, Montana. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.28
Market Cap$5.02B
Float219.0M
Shares Outstanding283.7M
P/E (Forward)22.78
P/E (TTM)73.71
Price/Sales (TTM)59.48
Profit Margin125.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.51%
Revenue (TTM)$85.8M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $19.7M -$7.1M $553,276 -$5.3M
2021 $20.8M -$7.8M $2.8M -$3.0M
2022 $24.8M -$14.5M $2.5M -$9.0M
2023 $22.5M -$8.8M $1.1M -$3.4M
2024 $28.8M -$16.3M $2.0M -$10.2M
2025 $32.5M -$118M $2.4M -$20.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $8.7M $33.2M
Dec 2025 $8.7M -$102M
Mar 2026 $25.4M -$5.3M
Jun 2026 $30.3M $128M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership22.7%
Institutional Ownership45.5%
Short Float12.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.05%
Number of Funds Holding180

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.28Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.89Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.64Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.30 support 1.17x 0 months ago
$8.80 support 2.92x 6 months ago
$6.90 support 2.57x 7 months ago
$4.50 support 3.15x 10 months ago
$1.90 support 3.82x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.00% 31.82% 14.71% -10.89%
1 Day 1.10% 0.00% 36.36% 15.11% -10.54%
1 Week 3.06% 0.00% 45.45% 61.78% -17.69%
2 Weeks 2.42% 0.00% 40.48% 79.01% -25.55%
1 Month 1.23% 0.00% 42.86% 96.24% -43.44%

Next earnings: October 31, 2026 (67 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan12.5%69.2%13
Feb8.7%38.5%13
Mar-2.0%30.8%13
Apr10.4%76.9%13
May3.2%53.8%13
Jun2.6%30.8%13
Jul-2.1%50.0%14
Aug7.0%46.2%13
Sep-0.1%30.8%13
Oct-1.8%30.8%13
Nov0.5%46.2%13
Dec-2.9%30.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 29.9% 622
Tuesday 0.46% 30.8% 684
Wednesday 1.55% 28.0% 679
Thursday -0.04% 27.6% 666
Friday 0.10% 29.2% 664

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 45.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 22.7%

Founder-led management: Lewis Black (Chairman, President & CEO)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares (ALM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ALM on Trend Edge →