ALHC — Alignment Healthcare LLC

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Alignment Healthcare LLC

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. operates a consumer-centric healthcare platform for seniors in the United States. It delivers customized healthcare experience to meet the needs of seniors through its Medicare Advantage plans. Alignment Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Orange, California. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.03
Market Cap$3.36B
Float186.1M
Shares Outstanding206.7M
P/E (Forward)204.08
P/E (TTM)162.70
Price/Sales (TTM)0.79
vs. Analyst Target+56.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.47%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.29%
Revenue (TTM)$4.26B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$25.15 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $959M -$22.9M $166M $9.5M
2021 $1.17B -$195M $129M -$162M
2022 $1.43B -$150M $184M -$114M
2023 $1.82B -$148M $201M -$105M
2024 $2.70B -$128M $297M -$77.4M
2025 $3.95B -$724,000 $489M $45.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.02B $15.7M
Sep 2025 $994M $3.7M
Dec 2025 $1.01B -$11.0M
Mar 2026 $1.24B $11.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.1%
Institutional Ownership106.5%
Short Float8.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.32%
Number of Funds Holding273

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.59Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.72Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.10 resistance 1.75x 0 months ago
$14.00 support 1.06x 8 months ago
$11.40 support 1.38x 15 months ago
$9.00 support 1.43x 19 months ago
$5.20 support 1.51x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.92% 1.15% 59.09% 15.38% -14.49%
1 Day 0.46% -0.78% 45.45% 26.05% -19.22%
1 Week -0.24% -1.61% 40.91% 29.85% -30.78%
2 Weeks -0.26% 1.49% 54.55% 38.02% -38.83%
1 Month 6.76% 9.65% 52.38% 57.22% -36.02%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.27% 52.3% 241
Tuesday 0.37% 53.7% 268
Wednesday -0.02% 51.1% 266
Thursday -0.26% 45.9% 259
Friday 0.02% 48.3% 261

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.1%

Founder-led management: John Kao (Founder, CEO & Director), Donald S. Furman (Co-Founder & Chief Clinical Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings71
Net Value-$104M
Net Shares Change-67,456,817
% of Float-36.3%
C-Suite Filings59
Clusters Detected9

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
General Atlantic (ALN HLTH), L.P. -$522M 3 3 sell
GENERAL ATLANTIC, L.P. -$522M 3 3 sell
KAO JOHN E Chief Executive Officer -$5.0M 1 N/A
Wagner Andreas P. Chief Human Resources Officer -$818,726.563 2 N/A
Maroney Dawn Christine President -$524,427 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-12 – 2025-06-17 5 4 -$4.9M 5 C-suite
2025-08-01 – 2025-08-15 6 5 -$4.3M 5 C-suite
2025-09-10 – 2025-09-19 10 7 -$645M 4 C-suite
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-15 6 6 -$420M 4 C-suite
2025-12-30 – 2026-01-06 8 5 -$25.9M 8 C-suite
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-17 3 3 -$4.8M 3 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-17 6 4 -$5.6M 6 C-suite
2026-03-19 – 2026-04-01 9 7 -$6.0M 9 C-suite
2026-04-08 – 2026-04-15 4 3 -$12.3M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-12 General Atlantic (ALN HLTH), L.P. -$206M Transaction at $18.57, now -13.7%
2025-12-12 GENERAL ATLANTIC, L.P. -$206M Transaction at $18.57, now -13.7%
2026-03-19 Wagner Andreas P. Chief Human Resources Officer -$425,475.614 Transaction at $18.03, now -11.1%
2026-03-17 Maroney Dawn Christine President -$524,427 Transaction at $17.48, now -8.3%
2026-03-04 Wagner Andreas P. Chief Human Resources Officer -$393,250.949 Transaction at $18.62, now -13.9%
2025-09-19 General Atlantic (ALN HLTH), L.P. -$100.0M Transaction at $16.01, now +0.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Alignment Healthcare LLC (ALHC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ALHC on Trend Edge →