UNH — UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated operates as a health care company in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Optum Health, Optum Insight, Optum Rx; and UnitedHealthcare. The Optum Health segment provides care delivery, care management, wellness and consumer engagement, and health financial services with patients, consumers, care delivery systems, providers, employers, payers, and public-sector entities. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$393.85
Market Cap$362.43B
Float900.5M
Shares Outstanding908.1M
P/E (Forward)20.79
P/E (TTM)30.03
Price/Sales (TTM)0.81
vs. Analyst Target-1.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.05%
Revenue (TTM)$449.71B
Earnings Growth (YoY)0.70%
Dividend Rate8.8%
Analyst Target Price$387.27 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $257.14B $15.40B $67.00B $25.30B
2021 $287.60B $17.29B $69.65B $27.07B
2022 $324.16B $20.12B $79.62B $31.84B
2023 $371.62B $22.38B $90.96B $36.33B
2024 $400.28B $14.40B $89.40B $28.08B
2025 $447.57B $12.06B $82.92B $23.06B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $111.62B $3.41B
Sep 2025 $113.16B $2.35B
Dec 2025 $113.22B $10.0M
Mar 2026 $111.72B $6.28B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership85.2%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding34.55%
Number of Funds Holding2,840

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$322.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$324.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$383.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$462.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$327.17Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$388.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$450.46Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$251.00 support 1.79x 8 months ago
$411.00 resistance 4.16x 11 months ago
$525.00 resistance 1.89x 12 months ago
$542.00 resistance 1.21x 14 months ago
$614.00 resistance 1.66x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (129 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.18% 0.64% 61.24% 9.13% -20.57%
1 Day 0.16% 0.54% 55.81% 9.99% -28.37%
1 Week 0.46% 0.28% 52.71% 17.07% -39.36%
2 Weeks 0.47% 0.30% 51.94% 27.78% -37.94%
1 Month 1.27% 1.75% 59.38% 27.15% -45.03%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.1%61.9%42
Feb0.4%50.0%42
Mar3.5%69.0%42
Apr1.3%52.4%42
May4.5%73.2%41
Jun0.7%58.5%41
Jul1.3%65.9%41
Aug-0.4%48.8%41
Sep0.9%48.8%41
Oct2.7%61.0%41
Nov3.6%69.0%42
Dec2.7%64.3%42

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.2% 1978
Tuesday 0.09% 48.2% 2147
Wednesday 0.19% 50.4% 2145
Thursday 0.06% 50.5% 2105
Friday 0.17% 49.7% 2095

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UNH on Trend Edge →