ALAB — Astera Labs, Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Astera Labs, Inc.

Astera Labs, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure. It offers an intelligent connectivity platform, comprised of semiconductor-based, high-speed, mixed-signal connectivity products that integrate a matrix of microcontrollers and sensors, and COSMOS. The company provides COSMOS software suite, a connectivity system management and optimization software that enables managemen… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$325.33
Market Cap$51.05B
Float152.7M
Shares Outstanding171.4M
P/E (Forward)101.01
P/E (TTM)199.89
Price/Sales (TTM)50.98
vs. Analyst Target-25.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.72%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.05%
Revenue (TTM)$1.00B
Earnings Growth (YoY)144.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$244.10 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $79.9M -$58.3M $58.7M -$59.4M
2023 $116M -$26.3M $79.8M -$27.7M
2024 $396M -$83.4M $303M -$113M
2025 $853M $219M $645M $225M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $192M $51.2M
Sep 2025 $231M $91.1M
Dec 2025 $271M $45.0M
Mar 2026 $308M $80.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.9%
Institutional Ownership82.8%
Short Float8.6%
% of All Funds Holding7.99%
Number of Funds Holding657

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$203.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$174.90Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$138.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$178.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$135.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$112.00 support 1.02x 0 months ago
$90.00 support 1.16x 9 months ago
$69.00 support 1.07x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (9 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.89% 1.51% 55.56% 23.98% -12.09%
1 Day 1.20% -0.83% 33.33% 37.70% -21.41%
1 Week 4.97% 1.61% 55.56% 42.87% -27.47%
2 Weeks 5.09% -4.00% 44.44% 36.65% -31.82%
1 Month 9.55% -6.24% 37.50% 72.86% -30.29%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (67 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.56% 57.1% 105
Tuesday 0.02% 47.4% 114
Wednesday 0.83% 50.0% 110
Thursday 0.18% 53.3% 107
Friday 0.75% 54.5% 110

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.9%

Founder-led management: Jitendra Mohan (Chief Executive Officer, CO-FOUNDER), Sanjay Gajendra (President and Chief Operating Officer, CO-FOUNDER), Casey Morrison (CHIEF PRODUCT OFFICER, CO-FOUNDER)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings60
Net Value-$805M
Net Shares Change-5,679,933
% of Float-3.7%
C-Suite Filings45
Clusters Detected9

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gajendra Sanjay President and COO -$186M 2 N/A
Tate Michael Truett Chief Financial Officer -$53.4M 3 3 sell
Dyckerhoff Stefan A -$9.1M 1 2 sell
Mazzara Philip General Counsel and Secretary -$5.7M 4 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-05-29 – 2025-06-06 5 4 -$71.5M 4 C-suite
2025-06-18 – 2025-06-26 5 4 -$25.0M 3 C-suite
2025-07-07 – 2025-07-21 4 3 -$38.8M 3 C-suite
2025-08-08 – 2025-08-20 10 5 -$174M 9 C-suite
2025-08-28 – 2025-09-04 3 3 -$37.6M 1 C-suite
2025-11-19 – 2025-12-03 6 6 -$59.3M 4 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-03-04 5 4 -$26.8M 5 C-suite
2026-04-03 – 2026-04-16 4 3 -$39.8M 3 C-suite
2026-05-11 – 2026-05-21 7 4 -$233M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-20 Mazzara Philip General Counsel and Secretary -$3.3M Transaction at $230.19, now +41.3%
2026-05-26 Mazzara Philip General Counsel and Secretary -$231,655.98 Transaction at $291.03, now +11.8%
2025-08-11 Dyckerhoff Stefan A -$9.1M Transaction at $174.34, now +86.6%
2025-08-20 Tate Michael Truett Chief Financial Officer -$17.1M Transaction at $171.38, now +89.8%
2025-08-14 Tate Michael Truett Chief Financial Officer -$19.1M Transaction at $191.19, now +70.2%
2025-08-11 Tate Michael Truett Chief Financial Officer -$17.1M Transaction at $171.38, now +89.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ALAB on Trend Edge →