AGCO — AGCO Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AGCO Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About AGCO Corporation

AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and replacement parts worldwide. It offers horsepower tractors for row crop production, soil cultivation, planting, land leveling, seeding, and commercial hay operations; utility tractors for small- and medium-sized farms, as well as for dairy, livestock, orchards, and vineyards; and compact tractors for small farms, specialty agricultural industries, landscaping, equestrian, an… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$103.28
Market Cap$7.57B
Float58.2M
Shares Outstanding70.0M
P/E (Forward)16.00
P/E (TTM)14.96
Price/Sales (TTM)0.73
vs. Analyst Target+20.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.73%
Revenue (TTM)$10.35B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-74.40%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$124.73 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.15B $427M $1.99B $859M
2021 $11.14B $897M $2.51B $1.25B
2022 $12.65B $890M $2.96B $1.42B
2023 $14.41B $1.17B $3.78B $1.70B
2024 $11.66B -$425M $2.84B $58.6M
2025 $10.08B $727M $2.50B $996M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.48B $306M
Dec 2025 $2.92B $95.5M
Mar 2026 $2.34B $55.0M
Jun 2026 $2.61B $77.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.0%
Institutional Ownership97.5%
Short Float6.2%
% of All Funds Holding5.84%
Number of Funds Holding514

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$113.46Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$116.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$110.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$112.36Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$115.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$109.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$109.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.03% 50.82% 7.23% -6.32%
1 Day 0.50% 0.00% 49.18% 7.59% -8.99%
1 Week 1.15% 0.76% 56.56% 19.63% -20.72%
2 Weeks 0.66% 1.90% 58.20% 27.78% -32.42%
1 Month 1.16% 2.11% 59.84% 33.18% -38.81%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (20 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%52.9%34
Feb1.7%52.9%34
Mar1.1%52.9%34
Apr3.7%61.8%34
May0.0%45.7%35
Jun-0.9%48.6%35
Jul1.5%57.1%35
Aug0.9%51.4%35
Sep-0.7%51.4%35
Oct2.8%50.0%34
Nov4.3%64.7%34
Dec3.3%61.8%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 49.1% 1633
Tuesday 0.05% 50.0% 1782
Wednesday 0.05% 48.2% 1780
Thursday 0.05% 48.7% 1746
Friday 0.16% 50.4% 1735

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$1.4M
Net Shares Change-921,158
% of Float-1.6%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Tractors & Farm Equipment Ltd -$109M 2 2 sell
Bennett Kelvin Eugene SVP Engineering -$678,692 4 4 sell
Hansotia Eric P Chairman, President and CEO -$556,562.1 1 1 sell
Harris Ivory Marie SVP Chief HR Officer -$200,480 1 1 sell
De Lange Bob +$100,710 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-07 – 2026-08-17 3 3 -$56.9M 1 C-suite
2026-09-08 – 2026-09-16 3 3 -$889,932.1 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-17 De Lange Bob +$100,710 Transaction at $100.71, now +2.6%
2026-09-16 Harris Ivory Marie SVP Chief HR Officer -$200,480 Transaction at $125.30, now -17.6%
2026-08-07 Bennett Kelvin Eugene SVP Engineering -$204,540 Transaction at $102.27, now +1.0%
2026-09-08 Hansotia Eric P Chairman, President and CEO -$556,562.1 Transaction at $110.78, now -6.8%
2026-09-08 Bennett Kelvin Eugene SVP Engineering -$132,890 Transaction at $132.89, now -22.3%
2026-08-07 Tractors & Farm Equipment Ltd -$56.8M Transaction at $115.33, now -10.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AGCO Corporation (AGCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AGCO on Trend Edge →