AGCO — AGCO Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About AGCO Corporation

AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and replacement parts worldwide. It offers horsepower tractors for row crop production, soil cultivation, planting, land leveling, seeding, and commercial hay operations; utility tractors for small- and medium-sized farms, as well as for dairy, livestock, orchards, and vineyards; and compact tractors for small farms, specialty agricultural industries, landscaping, equestrian, an… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$114.28
Market Cap$8.12B
Float60.1M
Shares Outstanding72.4M
P/E (Forward)19.08
P/E (TTM)10.81
Price/Sales (TTM)0.78
vs. Analyst Target+12.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.86%
Revenue (TTM)$10.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)441.90%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$128.36 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.15B $427M $1.99B $859M
2021 $11.14B $897M $2.51B $1.25B
2022 $12.65B $890M $2.96B $1.42B
2023 $14.41B $1.17B $3.78B $1.70B
2024 $11.66B -$425M $2.84B $58.6M
2025 $10.08B $727M $2.50B $996M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.63B $315M
Sep 2025 $2.48B $306M
Dec 2025 $2.92B $95.5M
Mar 2026 $2.34B $55.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.4%
Institutional Ownership92.9%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding5.69%
Number of Funds Holding468

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$116.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$113.57Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$106.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$112.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$112.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$106.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$111.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$110.00 support 1.09x 2 months ago
$103.00 support 1.07x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.03% 51.24% 7.23% -6.32%
1 Day 0.54% 0.00% 49.59% 7.59% -8.99%
1 Week 1.19% 0.77% 57.02% 19.63% -20.72%
2 Weeks 0.71% 1.94% 58.68% 27.78% -32.42%
1 Month 1.05% 2.11% 59.17% 33.18% -38.81%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%52.9%34
Feb1.7%52.9%34
Mar1.1%52.9%34
Apr3.7%61.8%34
May0.2%47.1%34
Jun-1.1%47.1%34
Jul1.9%58.8%34
Aug0.4%50.0%34
Sep-0.6%52.9%34
Oct2.8%50.0%34
Nov4.3%64.7%34
Dec3.3%61.8%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 49.0% 1615
Tuesday 0.05% 49.9% 1764
Wednesday 0.05% 48.2% 1761
Thursday 0.05% 48.9% 1727
Friday 0.15% 50.3% 1718

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$2.3M
Net Shares Change-442,809
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Tractors and Farm Equipment Ltd -$52.1M 1 1 sell
Felli Luis Fernando Sartini SVP GM Massey Ferguson -$1.7M 1 1 sell
Bennett Kelvin Eugene SVP Engineering -$341,262 2 2 sell
Harris Ivory Marie SVP Chief HR Officer -$300,502.71 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-07 Tractors and Farm Equipment Ltd -$52.1M Transaction at $123.28, now -7.3%
2026-02-18 Bennett Kelvin Eugene SVP Engineering -$315,192 Transaction at $137.04, now -16.6%
2025-08-12 Felli Luis Fernando Sartini SVP GM Massey Ferguson -$1.7M Transaction at $110.10, now +3.8%
2025-08-18 Harris Ivory Marie SVP Chief HR Officer -$300,502.71 Transaction at $112.59, now +1.5%
2025-11-12 Bennett Kelvin Eugene SVP Engineering -$26,070 Transaction at $104.28, now +9.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AGCO Corporation (AGCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AGCO on Trend Edge →