ADSK — Autodesk Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ADSK Bearish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 42, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction42
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Autodesk Inc

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution; Autodesk Build, a toolset for managing, sharing, and accessing project documents for streamlined workflows between the office, trailer, and jobsite; Revit, a software built for building information modeling to help professionals design, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$208.45
Market Cap$44.04B
Float210.4M
Shares Outstanding211.1M
P/E (Forward)16.39
P/E (TTM)30.14
Price/Sales (TTM)5.87
vs. Analyst Target+52.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)29.52%
Revenue (TTM)$7.51B
Earnings Growth (YoY)231.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$318.53 (32 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $3.79B $1.21B $3.45B $722M
2022 $4.39B $497M $3.97B $766M
2023 $5.00B $823M $4.53B $1.17B
2024 $5.50B $906M $4.99B $1.27B
2025 $6.13B $1.11B $5.55B $1.56B
2026 $7.21B $1.12B $6.56B $1.80B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $1.76B $313M
Oct 2025 $1.85B $343M
Jan 2026 $1.96B $316M
Apr 2026 $1.93B $491M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership97.4%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding15.00%
Number of Funds Holding1,233

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$218.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$256.78Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$274.12Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$246.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$251.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$273.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$253.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$237.00 resistance 1.76x 0 months ago
$296.00 resistance 1.23x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.12% 0.00% 48.00% 17.01% -21.67%
1 Day 0.37% 0.10% 51.20% 16.90% -17.75%
1 Week 0.90% 0.35% 52.00% 21.43% -21.07%
2 Weeks 1.47% 2.00% 55.20% 36.69% -22.80%
1 Month 2.50% 1.78% 54.84% 29.84% -19.49%

Next earnings: August 27, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%58.5%41
Feb4.8%63.4%41
Mar2.1%68.3%41
Apr1.9%61.0%41
May1.3%51.2%41
Jun-0.1%48.8%41
Jul-1.2%41.5%41
Aug4.3%70.7%41
Sep-0.3%51.2%41
Oct-0.9%46.3%41
Nov7.3%68.3%41
Dec4.0%65.9%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 49.3% 1951
Tuesday 0.12% 49.3% 2121
Wednesday 0.12% 51.0% 2117
Thursday 0.14% 49.5% 2077
Friday 0.13% 50.3% 2065

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$9.1M
Net Shares Change-24,991
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Blum Steven M EVP, Chief Operating Officer -$7.3M 1 N/A
Pearce Rebecca EVP, Chief People Officer -$2.0M 1 N/A
Howard Ayanna -$1.3M 2 N/A
Keene Ruth Ann EVP, Corp Affairs, CLO -$869,991.1 1 N/A
Smith Stacy J +$794,054.18 1 1 buy
Anagnost Andrew President and CEO +$498,543.6 1 1 buy
Moorjani Janesh EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$494,175 1 1 buy
CAHILL JOHN T +$378,400 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-29 – 2025-09-09 4 4 -$11.1M 3 C-suite
2026-06-15 – 2026-06-23 3 3 +$1.4M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 Moorjani Janesh EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$494,175 Transaction at $197.67, now +5.5%
2026-06-17 Anagnost Andrew President and CEO +$498,543.6 Transaction at $202.66, now +2.9%
2026-06-23 CAHILL JOHN T +$378,400 Transaction at $189.20, now +10.2%
2026-05-29 Smith Stacy J +$794,054.18 Transaction at $231.17, now -9.8%
2025-09-09 Blum Steven M EVP, Chief Operating Officer -$7.3M Transaction at $323.75, now -35.6%
2025-08-29 Pearce Rebecca EVP, Chief People Officer -$2.0M Transaction at $323.06, now -35.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Autodesk Inc (ADSK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADSK on Trend Edge →