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Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation, a commercial-stage company, develops an immune medicine platform for the diagnosis and treatment of various diseases. The company offers immunosequencing platform which combines a suite of proprietary chemistry, computational biology, and machine learning to generate clinical immunomics data to decode the adaptive immune system. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $14.13 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.22B |
| Float | 125.4M |
| Shares Outstanding | 160.0M |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 7.51 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +42.6% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | -16.82% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -27.10% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $295M |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $20.14 (8 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.4M | -$146M | $75.9M | -$144M |
| 2021 | $154M | -$207M | $105M | -$193M |
| 2022 | $185M | -$200M | $127M | -$175M |
| 2023 | $170M | -$225M | $94.7M | -$189M |
| 2024 | $179M | -$159M | $107M | -$129M |
| 2025 | $277M | -$59.5M | $206M | -$29.8M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $58.9M | -$25.6M |
| Sep 2025 | $94.0M | $9.5M |
| Dec 2025 | $71.7M | -$13.6M |
| Mar 2026 | $70.9M | -$20.0M |
| Insider Ownership | 1.8% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 96.5% |
| Short Float | 6.7% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 3.26% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 268 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $13.75 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $15.13 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $11.92 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $8.39 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $15.80 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $11.85 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $8.62 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $19.20 | resistance | 1.29x | 4 months ago |
| $12.90 | support | 1.05x | 7 months ago |
| $10.10 | support | 1.22x | 8 months ago |
| $9.60 | support | 1.27x | 10 months ago |
| $7.50 | support | 1.59x | 11 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 0.73% | 0.38% | 55.17% | 19.70% | -10.72% |
| 1 Day | 2.59% | 0.95% | 62.07% | 33.70% | -18.18% |
| 1 Week | -1.34% | -0.46% | 48.28% | 22.69% | -25.62% |
| 2 Weeks | -3.14% | -1.73% | 48.28% | 22.96% | -31.89% |
| 1 Month | -1.36% | -1.32% | 46.43% | 35.60% | -36.19% |
Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.02% | 51.4% | 325 |
| Tuesday | 0.04% | 49.9% | 359 |
| Wednesday | 0.27% | 50.4% | 355 |
| Thursday | -0.07% | 45.8% | 347 |
| Friday | 0.00% | 46.4% | 349 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 96.5%
Total insider ownership: 1.8%
Founder-led management: Chad Robins (Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman), Harlan Robins (Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer)
| Total Filings | 48 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$46.1M |
| Net Shares Change | -2,406,174 |
| % of Float | -1.9% |
| C-Suite Filings | 45 |
| Clusters Detected | 6 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROBINS CHAD M | CEO and Chairman | -$8.0M | 2 | N/A |
| ROBINS HARLAN S | Chief Scientific Officer | -$6.2M | 1 | N/A |
| RUBINSTEIN JULIE | President and COO | -$2.1M | 1 | N/A |
| PISKEL KYLE | Chief Financial Officer | -$1.9M | 1 | N/A |
| LO FRANCIS | Chief People Officer | -$905,223.58 | 2 | N/A |
| BENZENO SHARON | Chief Commercial Ofc Imm Med | -$831,066.51 | 1 | N/A |
| HERSHBERG ROBERT | -$367,488 | 1 | 1 sell | |
| GRIFFIN MICHELLE RENEE | -$214,130.54 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 – 2025-11-24 | 4 | 4 | -$7.1M | 4 C-suite |
| 2025-12-01 – 2025-12-12 | 5 | 5 | -$6.1M | 4 C-suite |
| 2026-01-06 – 2026-01-14 | 6 | 4 | -$3.0M | 6 C-suite |
| 2026-02-04 – 2026-02-06 | 3 | 3 | -$3.1M | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-03-04 – 2026-03-18 | 14 | 8 | -$20.1M | 12 C-suite |
| 2026-04-08 – 2026-04-21 | 7 | 4 | -$4.1M | 7 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | GRIFFIN MICHELLE RENEE | -$214,130.54 | Transaction at $13.91, now +1.6% | |
| 2025-12-12 | HERSHBERG ROBERT | -$367,488 | Transaction at $16.00, now -11.7% | |
| 2026-03-13 | ROBINS HARLAN S | Chief Scientific Officer | -$6.2M | Transaction at $13.17, now +7.3% |
| 2026-03-13 | ROBINS CHAD M | CEO and Chairman | -$6.2M | Transaction at $13.17, now +7.3% |
| 2026-03-13 | RUBINSTEIN JULIE | President and COO | -$2.1M | Transaction at $9.88, now +43.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | BENZENO SHARON | Chief Commercial Ofc Imm Med | -$831,066.51 | Transaction at $13.17, now +7.3% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADPT on Trend Edge →