ADBE — Adobe Systems Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ADBE Bearish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 39, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Adobe Systems Incorporated

Adobe Inc. operates as a technology company worldwide. The Digital Media segment offers products and services that enable individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content. This segment serves photographers, video editors, graphic and experience designers, game developers, content creators, students, marketers, business owners, knowledge workers, and consumers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$242.27
Market Cap$93.82B
Float388.1M
Shares Outstanding389.2M
P/E (Forward)8.73
P/E (TTM)13.46
Price/Sales (TTM)3.61
vs. Analyst Target+13.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)34.82%
Revenue (TTM)$25.97B
Earnings Growth (YoY)10.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$275.06 (39 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $12.87B $5.26B $11.15B $5.05B
2021 $15.79B $4.82B $13.92B $6.67B
2022 $17.61B $4.76B $15.44B $7.05B
2023 $19.41B $5.43B $17.05B $7.78B
2024 $21.50B $5.56B $19.15B $7.96B
2025 $23.77B $7.13B $21.06B $9.75B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Nov 2025 $6.19B $1.86B
Feb 2026 $6.40B $1.89B
May 2026 $6.62B $1.71B
Aug 2026 $6.76B $1.83B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership89.0%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding22.24%
Number of Funds Holding1,956

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$257.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$252.39Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$306.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$412.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$253.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$308.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$415.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$288.00 resistance 1.01x 0 months ago
$216.00 support 1.10x 2 months ago
$297.00 resistance 1.34x 7 months ago
$350.00 resistance 1.17x 8 months ago
$440.00 resistance 1.33x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.92% 1.07% 55.37% 15.59% -21.40%
1 Day 0.88% 1.27% 55.37% 17.72% -19.03%
1 Week 1.33% 2.05% 57.85% 42.75% -27.00%
2 Weeks 2.23% 1.74% 58.68% 39.88% -21.89%
1 Month 3.90% 3.16% 64.17% 83.76% -26.11%

Next earnings: November 29, 2026 (49 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%47.5%40
Feb4.1%57.5%40
Mar6.7%67.5%40
Apr6.6%67.5%40
May1.3%60.0%40
Jun-0.6%47.5%40
Jul-0.8%57.5%40
Aug0.1%52.5%40
Sep0.3%53.7%41
Oct5.4%67.5%40
Nov3.3%67.5%40
Dec1.2%52.5%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 49.6% 1907
Tuesday 0.15% 49.1% 2075
Wednesday 0.17% 51.0% 2073
Thursday 0.15% 51.0% 2034
Friday 0.02% 48.5% 2023

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$53.2M
Net Shares Change-186,838
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
NARAYEN SHANTANU Chair and CEO -$49.6M 2 2 sell
Durn Daniel EVP & CFO -$3.3M 2 2 sell
Ricks David A +$1.9M 1 1 buy
Forusz Jillian SVP & CAO -$346,220.375 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-22 – 2026-05-01 3 3 -$18.8M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-18 NARAYEN SHANTANU Chair and CEO -$31.3M Transaction at $250.76, now -3.4%
2026-07-31 Forusz Jillian SVP & CAO -$109,961.28 Transaction at $264.33, now -8.3%
2026-06-26 Ricks David A +$1.9M Transaction at $194.51, now +24.6%
2026-04-30 NARAYEN SHANTANU Chair and CEO -$18.3M Transaction at $243.54, now -0.5%
2026-04-22 Durn Daniel EVP & CFO -$331,354.854 Transaction at $248.02, now -2.3%
2026-05-01 Forusz Jillian SVP & CAO -$185,914.975 Transaction at $246.25, now -1.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADBE on Trend Edge →