ADBE — Adobe Systems Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Adobe Systems Incorporated

Adobe Inc. operates as a technology company worldwide. The Digital Media segment offers products and services that enable individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content. This segment serves photographers, video editors, graphic and experience designers, game developers, content creators, students, marketers, business owners, knowledge workers, and consumers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$238.24
Market Cap$98.67B
Float403.0M
Shares Outstanding404.2M
P/E (Forward)10.40
P/E (TTM)14.22
Price/Sales (TTM)4.03
vs. Analyst Target+37.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin29.48%
Operating Margin (TTM)38.76%
Revenue (TTM)$24.45B
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$327.28 (38 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $12.87B $5.26B $11.15B $5.05B
2021 $15.79B $4.82B $13.92B $6.67B
2022 $17.61B $4.76B $15.44B $7.05B
2023 $19.41B $5.43B $17.05B $7.78B
2024 $21.50B $5.56B $19.15B $7.96B
2025 $23.77B $7.13B $21.06B $9.75B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
May 2025 $5.87B $1.69B
Aug 2025 $5.99B $1.77B
Nov 2025 $6.19B $1.86B
Feb 2026 $6.40B $1.89B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership86.3%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding24.84%
Number of Funds Holding2,042

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$242.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$300.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$354.73Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$422.22Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$300.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$361.79Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$434.36Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$297.00 resistance 1.34x 2 months ago
$350.00 resistance 1.17x 3 months ago
$440.00 resistance 1.33x 13 months ago
$512.00 resistance 1.50x 16 months ago
$576.00 resistance 1.05x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.02% 1.34% 56.30% 15.59% -21.40%
1 Day 0.94% 1.27% 55.46% 17.72% -19.03%
1 Week 1.44% 2.06% 57.98% 42.75% -27.00%
2 Weeks 2.36% 1.97% 59.66% 39.88% -21.89%
1 Month 3.87% 2.84% 63.87% 83.76% -26.11%

Next earnings: June 11, 2026 (13 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%47.5%40
Feb4.1%57.5%40
Mar6.7%67.5%40
Apr6.6%67.5%40
May1.2%59.0%39
Jun-0.1%48.7%39
Jul-1.4%56.4%39
Aug-0.3%51.3%39
Sep0.7%55.0%40
Oct5.4%67.5%40
Nov3.3%67.5%40
Dec1.2%52.5%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 49.4% 1889
Tuesday 0.16% 49.2% 2057
Wednesday 0.17% 51.1% 2054
Thursday 0.15% 51.0% 2015
Friday 0.01% 48.5% 2006

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$21.8M
Net Shares Change-71,422
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
NARAYEN SHANTANU Chair and CEO -$18.3M 1 1 sell
Durn Daniel EVP and CFO -$3.3M 2 2 sell
Forusz Jillian SVP and CAO -$236,259.095 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-22 – 2026-05-01 3 3 -$18.8M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-30 NARAYEN SHANTANU Chair and CEO -$18.3M Transaction at $243.54, now -2.2%
2026-05-01 Forusz Jillian SVP and CAO -$185,914.975 Transaction at $246.25, now -3.3%
2026-04-22 Durn Daniel EVP and CFO -$331,354.854 Transaction at $248.02, now -3.9%
2026-01-27 Durn Daniel EVP and CFO -$3.0M Transaction at $297.96, now -20.0%
2025-11-04 Forusz Jillian SVP and CAO -$50,344.12 Transaction at $337.88, now -29.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADBE on Trend Edge →