ABTC — American Bitcoin Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ABTC Bearish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 23, actionability 87. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction23
Actionability87 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About American Bitcoin Corp

American Bitcoin Corp., a Bitcoin accumulation platform company, focuses on building a Bitcoin infrastructure platform. The company is engaged in the operation of application-specific integrated circuit miners for the purpose of mining Bitcoin and the strategic accumulation of a Bitcoin reserve. The company is based in Miami, Florida. American Bitcoin Corp. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.93
Market Cap$1.03B
Float23.3M
Shares Outstanding24.0M
P/E (Forward)71.43
Price/Sales (TTM)3.80
Profit Margin-71.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)-110.54%
Revenue (TTM)$272M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $15.6M -$33.9M $5.4M -$13.5M
2021 $17.6M -$31.3M $5.0M -$10.7M
2022 $65.7M -$104M $23.3M -$67.6M
2023 $65.0M $39.6M $21.4M $44.0M
2024 $71.5M $429M $32.0M $520M
2025 $185M -$153M $93.2M -$113M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $64.2M $3.5M
Dec 2025 $78.3M -$59.5M
Mar 2026 $62.1M -$81.8M
Jun 2026 $67.0M -$57.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.7%
Institutional Ownership29.0%
Short Float13.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.41%
Number of Funds Holding124

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.64Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.75Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$43.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$376.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$40.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$185.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.70 resistance 2.22x 0 months ago
$5.40 support 1.11x 0 months ago
$16.50 resistance 1.11x 1 months ago
$22.60 resistance 1.73x 5 months ago
$61.00 resistance 4.32x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% 0.00% 45.45% 20.42% -15.56%
1 Day 0.92% -0.35% 39.39% 56.29% -15.07%
1 Week -3.01% -6.77% 27.27% 90.53% -28.84%
2 Weeks -2.33% -4.11% 30.30% 138.42% -54.94%
1 Month -0.31% -10.47% 34.38% 193.68% -67.28%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.7%37.5%8
Feb-19.0%0.0%8
Mar-16.3%0.0%9
Apr7.2%55.6%9
May40.1%55.6%9
Jun-5.7%22.2%9
Jul-15.6%33.3%9
Aug-5.3%25.0%8
Sep-21.9%25.0%8
Oct-5.7%25.0%8
Nov6.7%37.5%8
Dec-13.2%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 42.9% 401
Tuesday -0.66% 38.3% 439
Wednesday 0.07% 39.3% 435
Thursday -0.09% 37.9% 428
Friday -0.13% 38.3% 426

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 29.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.7%

Founder-led management: Eric Trump (Co-Founder & Chief Strategy Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change696,491
% of Float3.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Anchorage Lending CA, LLC -$20.2M 1 1 sell
Mateen Justin +$3.8M 2 2 buy
Busch Richard +$1.3M 5 5 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 Mateen Justin +$1.9M Transaction at $6.29, now +26.2%
2026-06-16 Busch Richard +$391,500 Transaction at $0.87, now +811.5%
2026-03-05 Mateen Justin +$1.9M Transaction at $1.03, now +669.9%
2026-03-05 Busch Richard +$333,894 Transaction at $1.01, now +683.8%
2026-03-09 Busch Richard +$78,200 Transaction at $1.15, now +589.6%
2025-12-23 Busch Richard +$199,980 Transaction at $1.98, now +300.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ABTC on Trend Edge →