ZG — Zillow Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ZG Bearish with a Setup Score of 62, net conviction 40, actionability 97. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score62
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction40
Actionability97 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Zillow Group Inc

Zillow Group operates a real estate application and website that connects consumers with technology, agents and loan officers, and digital solutions in the United States. The company operates through four categories: Residential, Mortgages, Rentals, and Other. The Residential segment includes agent and software, as well as new construction marketing solutions and StreetEasy for sale products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.00
Market Cap$7.60B
Float210.0M
Shares Outstanding42.4M
P/E (Forward)14.75
P/E (TTM)132.84
Price/Sales (TTM)2.82
vs. Analyst Target+96.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.27%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.09%
Revenue (TTM)$2.69B
Earnings Growth (YoY)533.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$62.91 (29 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.62B -$162M $1.37B $272M
2021 $2.13B -$528M $1.81B $382M
2022 $1.96B -$101M $1.59B $130M
2023 $1.95B -$158M $1.52B $104M
2024 $2.24B -$112M $1.71B $179M
2025 $2.58B $23.0M $1.92B $336M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $655M $2.0M
Sep 2025 $676M $10.0M
Dec 2025 $654M $3.0M
Mar 2026 $708M $46.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership104.8%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.94%
Number of Funds Holding242

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$34.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$52.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$62.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$53.56Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$50.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$61.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$55.81Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$35.30 resistance 1.51x 0 months ago
$45.00 resistance 1.38x 1 months ago
$62.00 resistance 2.14x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (60 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.00% 50.00% 15.91% -19.56%
1 Day 0.63% -1.08% 48.33% 24.98% -26.60%
1 Week -0.37% 0.34% 53.33% 40.52% -31.12%
2 Weeks 0.18% -1.67% 48.33% 41.33% -29.67%
1 Month 0.93% -0.60% 49.15% 40.50% -45.19%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.5%60.0%15
Feb5.7%66.7%15
Mar-4.2%46.7%15
Apr1.8%40.0%15
May6.3%66.7%15
Jun3.9%66.7%15
Jul4.9%64.3%14
Aug0.5%40.0%15
Sep-4.7%40.0%15
Oct-1.5%40.0%15
Nov0.4%53.3%15
Dec3.2%60.0%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 51.2% 705
Tuesday 0.14% 52.0% 773
Wednesday -0.03% 50.5% 770
Thursday 0.17% 48.5% 757
Friday 0.22% 51.0% 755

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

Founder-led management: Rich Barton (Co-Founder and Co-Executive Chairman), Lloyd Frink (Co-Founder, Co-Executive Chairman and President), David Beitel (Chief Technology Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Zillow Group Inc (ZG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ZG on Trend Edge →